Good observations. Does it seem strange that Trump’s lead nationally at 5 points is actually larger than his lead in the 5 battleground states? I am not able to square that number. I would have expected the battleground state leads to be more than 5. It could be the smaller samples. Any ideas?
I did notice that. When you start looking at those details you are shrinking a sample size that may have been something like 1200 nationally to a few hundred or a few 10s in particular states.
MOE becomes enormous.
Nothing wrong with it. Just means bigger leads in other states. Or at least implied. Not shocking since those are called “battleground” for a reason.