Iranian Regime tv Channel One hacked while it was airing Khamenie speech

Iranian Regime national tv Channel One hacked about an hour ago. During a broadcast of Khamenie speech, a red crosshair appeared over his face and chanting of Women. Life. Freedom. There was writing to the side saying "Rise up. Join us". Also 4 photos at the bottom of the screen of young people killed and additional writing: "The blood of our youth is dropping from your paws".

Also, there was a huge banner in the middle of Tehran highway today that read: We are no longer afraid of you. We will fight.

Also, attempted attack on IRI ambassador in Denmark. Her bodyguard was stabbed. Diplomatic Security intervened before the attacker could stab the ambassador.

Iran Update, April 5, 2024

Some clerics close to the Office of the Supreme Leader suggested that Tehran will calibrate its response to Israel killing senior IRGC commanders in Syria in order to avoid a direct war with Israel.1] Several Friday prayer leaders endorsed ”strategic patience”—a long-standing regime policy that involves not conducting a full response to Israeli attacks immediately—in their weekly sermon on April 5.[2] The Office of the Supreme Leader issues guidance to Friday prayer leaders for the content of their sermons, which suggests that their promotions of strategic patience are part of a broader messaging effort from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.[3] Khamenei previously ordered his military commanders to exercise strategic patience following an Israeli airstrike that killed senior IRGC Quds Force officer Brig. Gen. Razi Mousavi in Syria in December 2023, according to The New York Times.[4] The public endorsements of a calibrated retaliation on April 5 are consistent with recent Western reporting.[5] Two unspecified Iranian officials told Reuters on April 4 that the immediate Iranian response would be “limited and aimed at deterrence.”[6] Such reports support CTP-ISW’s assessment that Iran seeks to avoid a direct military confrontation against the United States and Israel.[7]

Tehran is also signaling that it wants to avoid involving the United States in its retaliation against Israel. An official in Raisi’s Presidential office claimed that Iran has warned the United States to “step aside, so you don’t get hit,” suggesting that Iran seeks to retaliate against Israeli targets.[8] Western media has similarly suggested that Iran will target Israel directly, moreover. An unnamed US, Israeli, and other unspecified Western officials told the Washington Post that they expected Iran to retaliate with drones or missile attacks on Israeli targets that would be ”calibrated to avoid an even bigger response from Israel.”[9] CBS separately reported that US intelligence indicates that Iran’s response will include ”a swarm of Shahed loitering drones and cruise missiles,” likely before the end of Ramadan on April 10.[10] Israel has reportedly evacuated several of its diplomatic facilities around the region in anticipation of a possible Iranian retaliation, although the Israeli Foreign Affairs Ministry has denied such reports.[11]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-5-2024

Iran Has World's Second Worst Levels Of Land Subsidence

Ali Beitollahi, Head of the Seismology and Vulnerability Section at the Center for Research of Roads and Urban Development, said that Iran's situation is exacerbated by the extensive nature of subsidence areas across many provinces, with the number of affected regions surpassing other countries with similarly high rates. In Kerman province alone, subsidence rates reach 40 centimeters annually.

Beitollahi attributed the increase in subsidence rates partly to “extensive well drilling practices, which have led to a decline in groundwater levels across the country.” Last year, reports surfaced suggesting that the Iranian government had intentionally concealed information about the worsening subsidence crisis.

Last month, experts in Iran warned the current land subsidence situation in Iran is “critical”, claiming it puts the lives of more than 39 million people at risk.

Ali Beitollahi said the approximate area of subsidence zones in the country is now 18.5 million hectares, almost 11% of Iran's total area, and says if action is not taken, it endangers the lives of nearly 49% of Iran's population. He said 380 and 9,200 villages are at risk of land subsidence.

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202404076869

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subsidence

Iran Update, April 8, 2024

Senior Iranian military officials have continued to suggest that they will carefully calibrate Iran's response to Israel's killing of senior IRGC commanders in Syria. This careful approach aims to avoid a direct war with Israel. Iranian Armed Forces Chief of the General Staff Major General Mohammad Bagheri said on April 6 that Iran will strike Israel “at the right time” during a commemoration ceremony for the IRGC officers killed in the likely Israeli airstrike on April 1[1] The Military Affairs Adviser to the Iranian Supreme Leader Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi separately said during a similar commemoration ceremony on April 7 that Iran “must wait for the right time” to deliver its response.[2] Several senior Iranian clerics close to the Office of the Supreme Leader endorsed “strategic patience”—a long-standing regime policy that involves not immediately conducting a major response to Israeli attacks—in their weekly sermons on April 5.[3] Such comments support CTP-ISW’s assessment that Iran seeks to avoid a direct military confrontation against the United States and Israel. Strategic patience does not exclude an eventual Iranian retaliation, however.[4]

Lebanese Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah on April 8 warned that Iran will retaliate for the April 1 Israeli airstrike, illustrating the possibility of an eventual response to the attack.[5] Nasrallah’s made these comments during a Hezbollah ceremony for IRGC commander Mohammed Reza Zahedi in Beirut. Nasrallah said that Iran has a ”natural right” to retaliate against the airstrike because it represented ”an attack on Iranian territory.”[6] Nasrallah added that the United States and Israel recognize that an Iranian response to the attack is ”inevitably coming.”[7] Zahedi spearheaded Iranian engagement with Hezbollah and most recently commanded the IRGC Quds Force unit responsible for overseeing operations in Lebanon, Jordan, Syria, and the Palestinian Territories.[8] Zahedi was the only non-Lebanese member of Hezbollah's Shura Council, which is led by Nasrallah and serves as the groups’ central decision-making authority.[9]

Arabic-language media outlet Jadeh Iran reported on April 7 and 8 that Iran has conditioned its potential response to the April 1 Israeli strike on a ceasefire in Gaza. Arabic-language outlet Jadeh Iran reported on April 7 and 8 that Iran informed the United States that it would not retaliate against Israel for the April 1 strike if the United States could secure a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip between Israel and Hamas, citing “an anonymous Arab diplomatic source.”[10] Jadeh Iran is an outlet founded by an al Jazeera journalist. An Iranian Foreign Affairs Ministry official told Kuwait-based newspaper Al Jarida on April 8 that the Iranian Foreign Affairs Ministry told the United States that Iran would not respond to the April 1 Israeli airstrike if there was ”a ceasefire in Gaza.”[11] The US State Department spokesperson denied these reports on April 8.[12] The Jadeh Iran reporting coincides with claims from Western media and Israeli officials that Israel and Hamas negotiators had made ”significant progress” in negotiations or reached a “critical point“ during on going negotiations in Cairo.[13]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-8-2024

Iran Update, April 9, 2024

IRGC Navy Commander Rear Adm. Ali Reza Tangsiri implicitly threatened the United Arab Emirates (UAE) during an interview with Lebanese Hezbollah-controlled media on April 9, likely to pressure the UAE to sever ties with Israel.[1] Tangsiri issued a series of threatening messages, all of which appear aimed at the UAE, during the interview. Tangsiri reiterated the long-standing Iranian threat to close the Strait of Hormuz and furthermore suggested that Israel is cooperating with the UAE against Iran. Tangsiri claimed that Israel is present in the UAE under the pretext of “economic work” but actually engages in security and military activities there that threaten Iran.[2] Tangsiri’s decision to conduct the interview with an Arabic-language outlet further suggests that he intended to message to an Arabic-speaking audience.

Tangsiri’s comments are part of a larger Iranian effort to impose an unofficial blockade on Israel. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has urged regional states to cut trade ties with Israel and institute a blockade in response to the Israel-Hamas war. The Houthis have conducted over 40 attacks targeting commercial vessels in the Red Sea since November 2023, as part of this Iranian-led call effort, causing maritime traffic through the Red Sea to decline by approximately 50 percent since January 2024.[3] Israel has increasingly relied on overland trade with the Gulf States in recent months to compensate for reduced trade activity at the Port of Eilat due to the Houthis’ anti-shipping campaign.[4] Tehran and its regional allies have focused in more recent weeks on disrupting the Israeli ground connection to the Arabian Peninsula. Iranian state media and Iranian-backed Iraqi militias recently criticized the UAE for allowing Israel to conduct trade through its territory.[5] Iranian-backed Iraqi militias have, moreover, called for the dismantlement of Israel's “land bridge” through Jordan, as CTP-ISW previously noted.[6]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-9-2024

Media In Tehran Accuse Russia, Syria Of Betraying IRGC

In an editorial on April 8, Masih Mohajeri, the influential managing editor of Jomhouri Eslami daily, a newspaper that was founded by Ali Khamenei in 1979, asked: “Why Russia, which controls the Syrian airspace does not prevent air strikes on Iranian targets in Syria?” Also implicating Syria and possibly Iranian infiltrators in tipping off the Israelis, Mohajeri wrote: “We have had too many losses in Syria during the past months and this is certainly because of the treason by infiltrators.”

Since December, Israel has eliminated 18 high ranking IRGC officers in Syria, in what appears to be a systematic campaign to limit the danger of Iranian proxies on its borders. Almost all the IRGC generals and officers stationed in Syria and Lebanon are tasked with directing and coordinating a mixture of Afghan, Iraqi, Syria and Lebanese proxy forces. “We had warned about this repeatedly during the past months, but no one seems to have heard the warnings. Have Iranian officials ever asked themselves why such attacks never take place against Russian forces in Syria and why Russia's advanced air defense does not prevent Israel's crimes against Iran?”Jomhouri Eslami wrote.

Advocating for a comprehensive review of Iran's security apparatus, the editorial posed critical questions: “Instead of boasting after each attack, why not prioritize preventive measures? Isn't it time to reassess our security posture?”

Meanwhile on social media, Ehsan Arian, an Iranian who appears to be an opposition activist with more than 23k followers, wrote more clearly about Syria's possible role in tipping off the Israelis. Arian wrote that it was clear since 2019 that Bashar al-Assad was simply tolerating the IRGC Qods Force's presence in Syria rather than welcoming it.

He suggested that Iranian security agencies have briefed the Supreme Council of National Security about the involvement of Syrian insiders and certain elements within the Iranian regime in the Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian commanders and military advisers in Syria.

Iran had previously urged Syria to conduct a joint investigation into this matter following the killing of Seyed Razi Musavi in December. However, it seems that Iran has discovered that Syria's Intelligence organization and Presidential Guards impeded the investigation, as stated in the tweet from April 9.

The lengthy tweet continued to assert that subsequently, Iran and Hezbollah conducted a separate investigation, which revealed the involvement of Iranian infiltrators and Syrian agents. If these reports are confirmed, it is unlikely that Bashar Assad was unaware of them.

The tweet, however, did not dismiss the potential role of Russian forces collaborating with Syrian officers. Hezbollah acknowledges that many of its members killed in Israeli airstrikes since October 7 had some form of contact with Russian and Syrian intelligence, according to the tweet.

Other reports on social media also say Syrian officers who wish Iran to leave Syria give away the whereabouts of Iranian officers to Israelis.

https://www.iranintl.com/en/202404096146

Iran Update, April 10, 2024

Iran and its Axis of Resistance have also implicitly and explicitly threatened the UAE and Jordan for cooperating with Israel. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei claimed during his April 10 Eid al Fitr speech that Israel “enters [Islamic] countries” for ulterior motives rather than for the benefit of the host country.[28] Senior Iranian military leaders and its regional allies have recently criticized the UAE for allowing Israel to conduct trade in its territory.[29] IRGC Navy Commander Rear Adm. Ali Reza Tangsiri claimed on April 9 that Israel is present in the UAE under the pretext of “economic work” but actually engages in security and military activities there that threaten Iran.[30] Tangsiri issued this statement in an interview with Lebanese Hezbollah-controlled media, likely to pressure the UAE to sever ties with Israel.[31] These statements may also refer to the overland trade route Israel is using to offset its losses caused by the Houthi attacks in the Red Sea. Israel's overland ground trade routes have taken on new importance after trade decreased at the Port of Eilat.[32] Iranian-backed Iraqi militias also threatened to “cut” Israel's “land bridge” through Jordan.[33] These militias would probably use missile and drone attacks to generate this effect, given their lack of political influence in Jordan.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-10-2024

Translation:
By raising questions about the recent failures of the Quds Force in Syria and the hunting of at least 18 of its commanders and military advisors in just the last few months, the Islamic Republic newspaper has touched on an issue that has been raised at least since the beginning of 2019 with the information and evidence we had. “Bashar Assad has been continuing the presence of the Quds Force in Syria for a long time, not by choice but by refusal.”

Recently, whispers have been heard that J.A. has accused Damascus of being involved in revealing the location and time of meetings and the presence of its military commanders in Syria, and probably J.A.’s security services have now made a report about the possible involvement of Syrian authorities and elements apparently Khodi has presented to the Supreme National Security Council in the assassination of his senior commanders and advisers in Syria.

After the assassination of Seyed Razi Mousavi in Zainabiyah, Damascus last December, Tehran asked Damascus to start a joint investigation at the level of the intelligence services about the type of security breaches that led to Israel's success in hunting Mousavi. But it seems that after that it became clear to J.A. that the Syrian Telecommunications and the Presidential Guard have created obstacles in the investigation process. This prompted J.A. to start an independent investigation with the help of Lebanon's Hezbollah.
The results of the joint investigation by J.A. and Hezbollah have shown that high-level security breaches with precise leaks of information between insiders and Syrian operatives have definitely led to the assassinations.
We know that the commanders of the presidential guard and the communications officers in Syria enjoy political and security cover from the authorities at a high level, so it is unlikely that Bashar al-Assad himself is unaware of these whispers.

The next possibility is that this breach was created at the level of the Russian leadership in Syria and the Syrian security and military groups that cooperate with it. The factor that strengthens JA’s suspicion in this matter is that most of the Hezbollah cadres who have been killed in Lebanon or Syria since October 7 have been somehow connected with the security services of Damascus and the Russians, and the information and details related to The time and place of their activities are at their disposal.

P.N.: After ensuring its security situation in the final stages of the civil war, Damascus has found a desire to get rid of the influence of Israel, and according to reports, there are currently playing channels between Damascus and Tel Aviv.
After the meeting between Assad and Amir Abdollahian in Damascus in February last year, it was clear that Assad is not looking to turn Syrian territory into a new war front with Israel, which has no revenue for him. Assad and his government also did not have any support or advertising plan for this year's Quds Day celebration in Syria.

Assad's current and decisive position is the translation of the Russian position in Syria. The Russians’ priority now is to strengthen Assad's position in Damascus, even if it means sacrificing Hezbollah and the leaders of the Quds Force. Certainly, the attempt to use Syrian territory and create a front of pressure against Israel is not something that Assad will take lightly.
Damascus today has become very similar to Hayat Abad in the 80s. Gate of regional spies.
https://twitter.com/E_Aria_N/status/1777484588321054753

Prigozhine was against the cooperation beetween Hamas/Iran and Russia:

Three associates of Yevgeny Prigozhin (we will not name their names for security reasons) asked us to convey an important message to the authorities.

Firstly , the “musicians” confirmed the information we had previously published that some of the “Wagnerites” (of those who left PMCs and signed contracts with the Ministry of Defense) participated in preparing Hamas fighters for attacks against Israel. (https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4042550/posts?page=5270#5270 )

Secondly, the “Wagnerites” demand an apology for the “offensive words of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin” about the crash of Prigozhin’s plane and the deaths of Yevgeny Viktorovich, Dmitry Utkin and their other associates. We are talking about these sensational statements by the president about testing the dead for drugs and alcohol, and also about the fact that grenade fragments were found in their bodies.

Thirdly, Prigozhin’s associates demand a fair and honest investigation into the crash of his plane. If this does not happen, they threaten to publish many facts that “speak about connections between former representatives of the Wagner PMC and a number of prominent Russian military personnel with Hamas. And other facts that are unpleasant for the authorities.”

Before publishing this information, we handed it over to the Kremlin and asked for comment. We have not received any response at this time.

By the way, we wanted to ask our colleagues from the VChK-OGPU channel not to spread fake news about alleged grenade fragments in the bodies of Prigozhin and other passengers on the plane. These “dances on the bones” started by the authorities, and as we see, can lead to serious consequences. To the point of accusing our country of involvement in terrorism.

Well, of course, we shouldn't forget about basic respect for the dead, colleagues.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4042550/posts?page=5304#5304

Iran Update, April 11, 2024

Iran appears to be exploiting the uncertainty surrounding its reported “imminent” attack against Israel to stoke psychological terror in Israel. Western media reported on April 10 that Iran could launch drone and missile strikes into Israel imminently in retaliation for the IDF recently killing several senior IRGC officers in Damascus.[1] Iranian state media posted on X (Twitter) later on April 10 that the Iranian defense minister announced the closure of the airspace around Tehran for a military exercise.[2] Iranian regime-affiliated channels then began circulating posts suggesting that an Iranian attack into Israel would soon occur.[3] The coincidence of these posts led to extensive public speculation that Iran would launch an attack into Israel while the airspace around Tehran was closed. Iranian state media shortly thereafter retracted the claims of Iranian airspace being closed and denied that the Iranian defense minister made any related announcement.[4]

The publication and retraction of these reports is bizarre, especially given that the Iranian defense minister should have no role in the maintenance of Iranian airspace. Iranian military and political officials have boasted in recent days that the impending nature of their attack is itself damaging to Israel, suggesting that the media reports may have been part of a sophisticated information operation.[5] Stoking terror in Israel is consistent with CTP-ISW’s previous observation that Iranian leaders want the Israel-Hamas war to catalyze migration away from Israel and thereby erode the long-term viability of the Jewish state.[6]

The present nature of the information space makes it difficult to forecast when precisely Iran might launch a retaliatory strike into Israel if at all. Western estimations of when Iran will conduct an attack have varied and could be subject to change. The likelihood that Iran is spreading disinformation surrounding its strike exacerbates the issue further.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-11-2024

Iran Update, April 12, 2024

US Central Command (CENTCOM) Commander Gen. Michael Kurilla continued to meet with Israeli officials in Israel on April 12 to discuss preparations for a possible Iranian attack targeting Israel.[52] Kurilla met with Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant and IDF Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi to discuss US and Israeli preparations ahead of a potential Iranian attack against Israel.[53] Kurilla also met with other senior Israeli military officials, including IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari, on April 11.[54] Iranian officials have repeatedly threatened that they will retaliate against Israel in response to the Israeli airstrike that killed several senior IRGC officers in Damascus on April 1.[55]

Kurilla’s visit to Israel coincides with heightened US military readiness and warnings of an “imminent” Iranian attack targeting Israel. US media and US government officials said on April 12 that the United States is moving additional assets into the region, including air defenses to protect US forces in Iraq and Syria, in preparation for the “viable threat” of an Iranian attack on Israel.[56] The Wall Street Journal reported that the additional assets include two US Navy destroyers.[57] Unspecified US officials also warned that the US and Israel are expecting a “major Iranian attack” using “more than 100 drones and dozens of missiles” on “southern or northern Israel” as early as April 12 or 13.[58] US officials similarly told Western media on April 10 and 11 that an Iranian drone and missile attack targeting Israel was “imminent.”[59]

The present nature of the information space makes it difficult to forecast when precisely Iran might launch a retaliatory strike targeting Israel, if Iran attacks Israel at all. Western estimations of when Iran will conduct an attack have varied and could be subject to change. The likelihood that Iran is spreading disinformation surrounding its strike increases the difficulty of forecasting the timing of the retaliation.[60]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-april-12-2024

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