The Ukies mobilized the country by law- ALL of fighting age to sign up with it intitally ending by decree May 20th. However, last week they extended full mobilization for the duration. They are hurting, they fielded 22 Brigades on the 24th of Feb, as they by law stated treason charges if their manpower is disclosed, no one knows what is left of those 22 brigades. Thus the desperate cries for ammo, men and arms.
We do know the Territorial Guards ( counted in their total brigades) have been cut to pieces in the east, most are now not “ operational”. Western intelligence ( US most likely) has stated they can not locate 200,000 troops, ( Pentagon reports) , 200,000 Ukies lost to the eyes in the sky.
That said, western intelligence and the crooked beggar Zelensky have stated the Russians are continually resupplying and even rotating out troops ( rest and relaxation).Keep in mind Vlad and his Congress ( Duma) have NOT fully mobilized. If/ When they do, it’s lights out for the Ukies. Russia’s military vastly outnumbers the Ukies, the Ukies are on their last straw.
It goes only two ways from here, when Vlad finishes eating the Donbass, does he stop with Crimea, land bridge and the Donbass ( as he stated in his war speech) OR does he go on to Odessa? (as much of his population wants and his right wing right wing Nationalists want)
If he stops with the Donbass, the Ukies have a chance to remain a country. If he eats Odessa, the Ukies cease to exist as a nation as they will be landlocked, unable to recover economically as they will be landlocked, no ports, no import/ export….they will be totally reliant on Vlad’s goodwill for energy, trade, and much more.
Fact is, prepare for the inevitable, a major Ivan win, checkmate.