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POLL: North Carolina: Trump 48%, Biden 46%
Rasmussen ^ | Oct 30 | Rasmussen

Posted on 10/30/2020 9:10:41 AM PDT by RandFan

President Trump has edged to a two-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in the battleground state of North Carolina.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey of Likely Voters in North Carolina finds Trump with 48% support to Biden’s 46%. A week ago, it was Trump 48%, Biden 47%. Two percent (2%) still like some other candidate, while four percent (4%) remain undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2020election; poll; polls; rasmussen
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1 posted on 10/30/2020 9:10:41 AM PDT by RandFan
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To: RandFan

NC Ds are behind their 2016 #s. Blacks down 3% from 2016, 5% from 2012.


2 posted on 10/30/2020 9:12:38 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: RandFan

If 40% of voters have already voted by mail or done in-person-early-voting, why are these voters not being “exit-polled?” What would such polls show?


3 posted on 10/30/2020 9:13:27 AM PDT by Lysandru (Fnord)
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To: RandFan

bookmark


4 posted on 10/30/2020 9:17:08 AM PDT by GOP Poet (Super cool you can change your tag line EVERYTIME you post!! :D. (Small things make me happy))
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To: LS

So in other words, the 2% lead is likely 5%.


5 posted on 10/30/2020 9:19:46 AM PDT by tatown
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To: RandFan

What about 9 days after election day?


6 posted on 10/30/2020 9:20:02 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: RandFan

Can Trump drag Tillis across the line with him/


7 posted on 10/30/2020 9:24:00 AM PDT by oldplayer
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To: RandFan

In comparison to 2016, if ED goes similar to that year, it will be another 4 point win.


8 posted on 10/30/2020 9:24:31 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: RandFan

Anybody who thought Biden would win NC is smoking crack.


9 posted on 10/30/2020 9:25:23 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Lysandru

If 40% of voters have already voted by mail or done in-person-early-voting, why are these voters not being “exit-polled?” What would such polls show?

Their ballot has been submitted and registered, but not opened and tallied. No ballots should be opened until Election Day. At this point, all these EV counts are based on party registration affiliation, which is public info. We have no idea at this point of crossover votes.


10 posted on 10/30/2020 9:25:24 AM PDT by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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To: oldplayer

Yes he probably will... The D is engulfed in scandal and in hiding (Like Joe!_


11 posted on 10/30/2020 9:25:52 AM PDT by RandFan (3C)
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To: Flick Lives

You missed my point. Why aren’t the polling organizations polling people who have voted?


12 posted on 10/30/2020 9:27:26 AM PDT by Lysandru (Fnord)
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To: Lysandru

Stop posting Rasmussen polls it is BS; polls in general. Do you people not understand polls are just a guess. This is no hard science there it is just probability, 2016 should make you take is with a grain of salt look at the early vote and analyse county’s and use your brain. Democrats have never out voted republicans on election day and in a pandemic and they are losing the early vote (IPEV + VBM) totals.


13 posted on 10/30/2020 9:28:59 AM PDT by bte
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To: RandFan

With NC, FL,OH and IO ours, we need GA, AZ, and 1 great lakes state out of 4. Pt is getting close.


14 posted on 10/30/2020 9:32:40 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: RandFan

it really bothers me that the D’s could score anything over 30 or 40 percent in a great state like NC

add in the DNC fake ballots, illegal voting, multiple voting, rigged vote counts, and SorozNazi-financed elections certification officials....also deceased voters are 103% D ballots..........

PDJT may need to score at least 10 points ahead to overcome the DNC Election Theft Operation?


15 posted on 10/30/2020 9:34:06 AM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: faithhopecharity

I live here and have seen so many folks come here from CT NY NJ in the past 2 years.....they’ve also have worked to tear down statues and bring their godless culture to our schools.


16 posted on 10/30/2020 9:39:37 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: Lysandru
Why aren’t the polling organizations polling people who have voted?

Excellent question.

What I would want to do is use that data to _validate_ polls.

How would you do that?

Let us say 90 voters already voted early in State X, 30 registered Republicans, 30 registered Democrats, 30 registered Independents.

You ask the question: "Did you vote early?"

You ask the question: "Are you registered as Republican Democrat or Independent?"

You ask the question: "Who did you vote for in the Presidential election?

Then, you _weight_ your poll so that the "yes" answers match the _known_ 30_30_30 turnout.

Then you can be sure your survey accurate reflects the actual early voting.

Most pollsters are way too sloppy to validate their polls.
17 posted on 10/30/2020 9:45:03 AM PDT by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: RandFan

If the lamestream media starts reporting on Hunter Biden’s laptop this weekend, then it means only one thing: they are privy to what the “real” insider polls are indicating and they don’t want to be caught looking as biased as they really are.


18 posted on 10/30/2020 9:45:47 AM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: Lysandru

You missed my point. Why aren’t the polling organizations polling people who have voted?

It’s hard enough to get people to answer a call from a pollster. Harder still to conduct a poll limited to one State. Now you would have to poll a subset of that with people who have submitted EVs. The probability of a meaningful statistical sample approaches zero.


19 posted on 10/30/2020 9:46:00 AM PDT by Flick Lives (My work's illegal, but at least it's honest. - Capt. Malcolm Reynolds)
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To: tatown

“So in other words, the 2% lead is likely 5%.”
_______________________________________________

Trump won NC in 2016 by ~3.5%....

Yes, a 2-point lead at this point will probably be closer to 5% at the end...

NC will be a good marker to watch early next Tuesday...think polls close at 7:30 PM...


20 posted on 10/30/2020 9:47:23 AM PDT by MCEscherHammer
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