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I Don't Make Predictions, But...
Townhall ^ | 10/30/2020 | Larry O'Connor

Posted on 10/30/2020 7:07:37 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: Go_Raiders

RCP and other major poll aggregators, and those whose business is analyzing those polls, are in a GIGO-from-hell trap.


21 posted on 10/30/2020 8:33:11 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: SeekAndFind

22 posted on 10/30/2020 8:35:15 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Remember Baghdad Bob, they will lie to the end.

Believe your eyes.

Get out and vote and bring someone with you.


23 posted on 10/30/2020 8:45:16 AM PDT by MagillaX
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To: Dan in Wichita
"I don't know why this author and so many other commentators place any faith in the RCP numbers."

The author is dismissive of RCP numbers. Don't know where you see his faith in them.

24 posted on 10/30/2020 8:47:38 AM PDT by mlo
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To: MagillaX

Ahhh yes, I remember him well: “The Infidels are not in Baghdad!”

It was reported by the British Paper The Times that al-Sahhaf (Baghdad Bob’s real name ) was living in the United Arab Emirates. RETIRED.

It’s ironic that his boss, Saddam lobbed SCUD missiles at Israel then but the country he is now living in has now made peace with Israel!


25 posted on 10/30/2020 8:50:38 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: CIB-173RDABN

I too did not believe he would be the candidate, but I wanted him to be because of his corruption issues (and track record as an awful national candidate).

He has been an awful candidate, but I was getting worried a few weeks ago that the media had been able to hide the corruption stuff very well....... and then Hunter reentered the picture in spectacular fashion.

Despite all of this, the media has made him a viable candidate because it was never about their candidate - to the left it is all about voting against Trump and not really about Biden.

I also think the BLM/Antifa riots and coronavirus is helping Trump far more than it hurts him. People want law and order and they are tired of lockdowns.


26 posted on 10/30/2020 8:58:06 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: Outlaw76

Biden is corrupt and thus he is easy for the powers that be to control. Harris is corrupt and a communist. Gabbard, though to the left, isn’t a Marxist and unlike Biden, probably can’t be bought.


27 posted on 10/30/2020 9:11:08 AM PDT by Wilhelm Tell (True or False? This is not a tag line.)
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To: Dan in Wichita

Larry may not be saying it clear enough, but he is saying that RCP is biased and not to be taken seriously.


28 posted on 10/30/2020 10:54:48 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KC_Conspirator

I guess I didn’t read the article carefully enough. It sounded to me initially as if he was fretting about the RCP average, and that set me off in a tizzy.


29 posted on 10/30/2020 11:36:06 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: SeekAndFind

bookmark


30 posted on 10/30/2020 12:10:22 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: Dan in Wichita

You are correct though; too many people citing RCP. It has a lousy record, garbage in, garbage out.


31 posted on 10/30/2020 3:36:50 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: All

“How does he get there? Well, it’s at this point we look back at those three states: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania... Trump only needs one of them. Just one. Biden needs all three.”

doesn’t this factor out vote fraud?

also just heard on fox news that 7 republican pennsylvania counties will not start counting until wednesday morning. i am just guessing that this is a strategy to decrease the possibility of vote fraud in philadelphia. According to the state website, Penn. ballots “ ballot must be postmarked by Tuesday, November 3, 2020 and received no later than Friday, November 6, 2020 by 5:00 p.m.” So this buys them about 12 hours at most but whatever.

Are there any cogent arguments against the author’s view? What are the latest trump camp thoughts on PA, MI, and NC?


32 posted on 10/31/2020 2:13:21 PM PDT by SteveH
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