Posted on 10/29/2020 6:11:36 AM PDT by bort
Republicans cut more than one percentage point off of the Democrats' early voting lead in NC yesterday. The Democrat EV lead was cut to roughly 285K, as Republicans net-gained just under 16K votes yesterday.
Dem--1,493,832--(38.62%)--(+70K votes)
Rep--1,208,633--(30.92%)--(+85.5K votes)
Una--1,146,929--(29.65%)--(+78K votes)
The black share of the early vote electorate dropped for the 4th straight day, from 20.06% to 19.78%. Interestingly, "unaffiliated" voters out-voted Democrats yesterday.
As I have noted many times, in 2016, Democrats LOST NC despite having a 310K early vote lead going into election day. Republicans are on pace to cut the Dem lead down to around 230K--ish. Democrats need the black share of the overall electorate to by 22.5%. The black share is on pace to be 20% or less (the black percentage will be about 1 point higher than board of elections stats state, as many voters in NC do not list their race).
Keep in mind that Democrats spent a ton of money trying to push their base to vote early by mail. Despite this huge early vote effort, Republicans have caught up in in-person voting. Republican voters come out strong on election day.
Translation: Trump is coming in for the kill-shot today in Fayetteville, NC. We are still in good shape.
ping
bookmark
Even with the democrat push to get their voters to vote early by mail or in person, there will be a large percentage of them who had been expecting to vote on 11/3. Assuming that democrats are much more likely to be taken in by their covid fear mongering, might the democrats be scaring themselves into a loss in close elections?
I have written extensively about this horrible, stupid strategy in my www.uncoverdc.com articles (see the archives).
Ds sacrificed ED turnout for a two-pronged hope: VBM + fraud. Rs closed off the latter. R turnout is offsetting the former.
Trump will have a very big day.
FL and NC are already done deals. Trump will win both by much larger margins than 2016 (1 point more each?)
ping
Wish Trump wasn’t still having to visit NC today.
Unfortunately, the Supreme Court is allowing NC to count their mail-in votes received 9 days AFTER the election. Plenty of time for the Dems to steal NC.
Bump
He has to go somewhere...
I don’t think so. The ballots have to postmarked by election day. Those ballots are going to be the most scruntinized ballots ever. Light is the best disinfectant. The light will be shining bright on every ballot received.
Many states are counting ballots after election day. They always have. That’s why the totals change.
The Dems can’t wait until after election day to suddenly flood the state with new ballots. The postmark will prevent that.
Most post offices quit collecting mail at 6:00 or 6:30.
Now there are a lot of Freepers (not saying you are one) who give super powers to the Dems to steal every election. If that’s true, then the country is lost already.
I know election fraud happens...but not the massive scale that would need to be done to steal a Trump victory.
North Carolina isn’t Philly or Chicago yet.
Like a locomotive barreling down the tracks!!
But can't the postmark be altered or faked?
One final push to secure the win and get Tillis over the hump. Also, Fayetteville hits a portion of South Carolina, so this is probably also for Lindsey Graham.
As a NC resident, I hope and pray you are right. It’s good that only election day or before postmarks will be honored. Thanks for the good news.
Now, if we could just get rid of that smarmy Cooper...
Amen!
SOB will unfortunately win. He’ll shut the state down again.
Nasty day here in NC today. I suspect EV numbers will be down quite a bit today.
Those are darn good numbers
I have spent time in NC...the state is beautiful, and the people are the best of folks.
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