Not Ralston upcoming report but from earlier today:
“First, the Republicans are up in the rurals by 30,000 ballots and nearly 28 percentage points with about half the vote in. Trump won rural Nevada by nearly 58,000 votes in 2016. I have said it could be as much as 70,000 this cycle. I may have underestimated it.
Second, in 2016, Trump won rural Nevada by 65-28. If we apply those numbers to the current turnout, he actually is up in rural Nevada by more than 40,000 votes. Indies in the rurals lean right. Might the president get above 70,000 and closer to 80,000? It’s possible.”
I bought 975 Trump NV at .24.
Not my usual type of bet.
BUT, I might flip them for a quick 10-15% if Ralston’s numbers move that market.
Trump lost NV in 2016 by 2.4 points, a whopping ~26K votes. As of 9/1 the NV GOP had made a net gain of nearly 6K votes. Gary Johnson took over 37K votes, while None of these candidates scored another nearly 29K votes. Plus NV-03 is another Republican-leaning House district the GOPs Dan Rodimer is trying to win back. While its not a shoo-in, the Trump campaign can definitely flip NV.