Everybody’s got their own echo chamber.
If a state is supposed to move 10 points from 2016, there has to be some enormous population change. People don’t change their minds. The Trump haters and their echo chamber think lots of Republicans and Independents have seen the light and hate Trump now. And vice versa, we think Democrats are going to wholesale decide the riots are their own fault and will vote Trump.
Minds don’t change that easily. Usually not at all.
To be clear, that was sarcasm
From 2018
https://www.orlandosentinel.com/business/os-bz-puerto-rico-numbers-20180105-story.html
The flood of evacuees from Puerto Rico is reshaping schools, communities and public services, but the truth is nobody knows exactly how many islanders are moving to Florida permanently.
Three university professors who are studying the influx after Hurricane Maria hit the island in September are questioning figures that Gov. Rick Scott has been using – most recently 300,000. The storm — which knocked out all power and most cellphone service for weeks — was the worst disaster to ever hit the Caribbean island.