Pennsylvania Poll: Donald Trump 48.4%, Joe Biden 47.6%

Breitbart ^ | 10/27/2020 | Hannah Bleau

[littleharbour]

In the 2 weeks prior to the 2016 election all of the polls had Hillary ahead, from 2 to 6%. A poll showing the President with an actual lead, would indicate he’s at least 3 or 4% ahead.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/pennsylvania/

[Levy78]

Man.... I sure hope you’re right and I’m wrong.

[Political Junkie Too]

Using nothing but nine www.statespoll.com adjusted October Pennsylvania polls, my model gives President Trump a 73% probability of winning the state.

-PJ

[Avalon Memories]

Trump will not win California. The Dem machine there has elections so rigged it should be illegal.

[RayChuang88]

I think the possibly of 336 for Trump, the rest for Biden is real. It will show the severe disconnect between the “coastal elites” and the rest of the country.

[SmokingJoe]

[Patriot_MP]

I had 336 — but then I felt really good and added a few more — it’s crazy I know — but we will find out soon enough...

[MCEscherHammer]

Trump taking Commiefornia is quite bold...but, I like the enthusiasm...

I’d swap CA for NH and MI...356 electors...just about right...

If you are correct, the Senate holds and the House flips to Red...

Then, Trump will have 2 years to really clean out the shit stalls...

We can hope for the retirement of Breyer and possibly Thomas...outside chance for Alito...

Can you imagine if Trumnp is able to fill the SCOTUS with 2-3 more 50ish Conservatives...?

A fairly young 7-2 would cement the court for the next generation, or more...

[Lower Deck]

Well within the 2.9% margin of error.

[RevelationDavid]

2 Chronicles 7:14 If MY people, who are called by MY name, will humble themselves and pray and seek MY face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land. 🙏Pray Christians...Pray for America and PDJT🙏

[technically right]

I note that Rasmussen has Trump up by 1% nationally. That’s quite a switch from a month ago. I suspect the polling outfits will be giving us more accurate numbers as we get closer to the election. They have to try to save what little reputation they have left, so look for Trump to “surge” in the polls.

[Col Frank Slade]

Change :

CA - BLUE
MI - RED
VA- BLUE
NH - RED
ME- BLUE

AND

NY - RED (Possibly).

[Mr. Blond]

Margin of Fraud.

[SmokingJoe]

That “Trump is behind 12%” poll from Rasmussen was when Trump went down with coronavirus and couldn't campaign for 10 days.
If Trump had continued to stay sick in hospital, he would have been history.
Thankfully he had a very rapid recovery.

[fortheDeclaration]

Yes, that is more realistic. We should however win back some House seats in Calif.

[Political Junkie Too]

This is a close approximation of my model's results. My model's probability weighted average EV is 275, with a 64% probability of being higher.

-PJ

[wiseprince]

Even in your most optimistic World IL doesn’t go Trump (neither does MI). That’s so sad, IL should be Trump country with all of the steel

[gogeo]

I would have thought Oregon before California.

[ReelectTrump2020]

And NJ, CT and RI would before NY

[deport]

2016 Map for comparison