Posted on 10/21/2020 9:48:33 AM PDT by Kaslin
Liberals count on “suburban women” to carry Biden to a victory denied to Hillary Clinton four years ago. The theory is that many of the suburban women who voted for Trump last time have changed their minds and are pulling the lever against him this time.
That false prediction is a stepchild of the gender gap theory of politics which was all the rage in the media in the 1980s as they tried, unsuccessfully, to oust Ronald Reagan from the White House. Reagan was supported by men even more than by women, and supposedly that gap in support was going to be his downfall.
It was not. Reagan rode to a landslide reelection victory of historic proportions in 1984, carrying even the liberal backyards of Massachusetts, New York, and California. The experts crawled back under their rocks after the crash of their predictions about the impact of a gender gap.
Polling married couples about what color home they would like to buy would result in many differences in opinion between husband and wife. But, as with voting, when it comes time to buy a home they agree and make the decision with one voice.
Polls tighten, as they did in 2016 around this time, because married couples decide not to cancel out each other’s vote. This is not because of new information, or because millions of people are independently changing their minds, or because of how the candidates performed at a presidential debate.
This is because married couples begin deciding in earnest about the election and what it means for the future of their children and grandchildren. This is because families seriously reflect on the freedom and prosperity they have enjoyed until now, and start really deciding which candidate will continue that for their next generation.
Married couples typically vote for the same candidate in elections, and it would be silly for them to go to the trouble of voting just to cancel each other out. The strong support for Trump by men has the effect of pulling married women to his side despite all the media bias.
Studies show that women, as a group, are more influenced by the media and thus have been pulled away from supporting Trump by the slanted reporting against him. That has artificially depressed Trump’s approval rating throughout his presidency, particularly among women.
But when it finally comes time to vote, serious conversations begin between husband and wife. It becomes more like their joint decisions to buy a home, raise a child, and plan for the long-term future.
A response to a pollster is a decision that people make willy-nilly in reply to a surprise phone call. It can embody an unhappiness at that time, or an opportunity merely to complain.
Earlier this month CNN gloated that, in its polling, women supported Biden over Trump by a 34-point margin. An average of many such polls showed a 25-point gender gap.
But those polling responses are not family decisions, as actual votes by married couples are. When married women actually cast their votes, they take into consideration how their husband is voting more than what CNN says.
Suburban women are unlikely to vote against their own husbands, and hence to predict an election outcome it is essential to focus on how suburban men will vote. They went big for Reagan in 1984, and then so did their wives.
A recent ABC News/Washington Post poll announced that although suburban women support Biden by 62 percent to 34 percent, suburban men support Trump by a landslide margin of 54 percent to 43 percent.
Suburban men and women are predominantly married, or else they would be living in cities. The tightening of the race occurs when the married couples realize that by voting for the same person they have an impact of 2 votes, but voting opposite each other is a waste of their time.
Feminists may hope that the suburban wives persuade their husbands how to vote, but that is not what happened in 2016 or prior elections. Instead, often husbands are more persuasive than the media in influencing their wives for whom to vote, leaving only the unmarried women with a gender gap voting against the Republican.
Trump nearly prevailed with married women in 2016, and there are more married women than the unmarried women who opposed him then and now. Today some explain Trump’s better polling among married women as being due to the issue of safety against crime, but that issue would matter as much to unmarried women.
Instead, it is the institution of marriage that enables Trump and other Republicans to continue winning despite the array of media and big money against them. Married men see through the liberal bias, and easily persuade their families to vote for Trump, too.
Honey, I shrunk the libs.
Women who didn’t pull the level for the first woman president are going to pull it for a male president.
Makes sense.
My wife has gone from hating Trump in 2016 and being for the most part apolitical, to now being a Trump supporter and very actively involved with GOP politics in my county.
The massive social media frenzy about politics with her friends has opened her suburban housewife eyes. I even got her to banish Netflix from our home!
Women might be the very big story of this election. There must be something to this since the media has been openly discussing Suburban Housewives.
mark
Wow, those are both fantastic stories! Kudos to these new female Trump voters. :-)
5 million *new* gun owners. At least 5 million walkway dems and runaway slaves. That’s roughly 8% of ~129 million likely votes.
Went to vote in my blue city a few minutes ago report! Ok folks.. My hubby and I decided to go vote this morning and do it through the curbside voting venue at our early voting site! We did it because we were trying to avoid the long lines everybody was talking about! Including myself. So we drove up cast our votes and started to drive off but before we did I asked my husband to drive around the corner to see these so-called long lines to see all the Biden enthusiastic voters standing in line for hours. To my shock there was only one person waiting to get in to vote! And I live in a very DemoKKKrat city anyways I was expecting to see the long lines everyone was talking about wrapped around the block but that didn’t materialize! In my opinion those long lines happened last week and are beginning to dwindle as the days pass ..but I believe our fight will be on election day as to who has the biggest turnout!! So please please take people to vote....this Saturday I will be taking first time voters to their voting precincts ... if I can do it you Can too!!
Enjoy that Section 8 housing...
Not so sure that Suburban women are going that hard for Biden... two core reasons; safety... they don’t like this Defend the police crap, and 2) they do not like or trust Kamala....I know several moderate democrat women who had every intent of voting for Biden and now voting for Trump, simple because they fear a Kamala Presidency, and considering Joe’s decline, its highly likely.
Those long lines were in NW Las Vegas...I had to wait 3 hours in a line longer than 6 blocks to vote. The line was heavily peppered with flag clothing and even a lot of Q shirts...there were petitions floating around to recall our Dumb Rat Governor...and they were filling up. Trump is getting turnout in the outskirts of Las Vegas.
Once again the press is saying one thing, but no evidence to back it up. “Suburban women are flocking to Joe”. However, all I see is the same Karen’s that voted for Hillary.
That is because they have a support system and do not need to depend on the government to come to the rescue.
Not a popular thought but I think a true one.
That's why they opened a campaign office in the Northwest (right by my house). People putting up Trump signs, but they keep getting vandalized and stolen, which shows the Bolsheviks are nervous. I've never seen so much campaign effort being pumped into this area. Also never seen so much leftist pushback. Cautiously optimistic about the Silver State as a whole.
WOW!! Thanks! So encouraging!!
when the executive husbands start explaining to their lexus-country-club wives the damage a biden win would do for their corporation/job/neighborhood/school etc....their wives will vote Trump despite what their artist/lecturer/professor/socialite friends discuss at starbucks
and the blue collar wives and law enforcement wives who have to always worry whether their husbands will make it home at night—they’ll be 100% on board the trump train this time around
Usually true in our house but in 2016 I was planning to vote for Cruz in the primary and my wife convinced me to vote for Trump.
just curious what drives your daughter and her friend to go for Trump and also if she’s discussed the voting trends of their friends in their “community”?
my ex sister-in-law’s gay sister (who I was fortunate to “enjoy” back in high school before she came out of the closet) is also going Trump. she’s still very religious and a daddys girl at heart, and her daddy is 100% Trump. She also hates victimhood and labeling which is the democrat platform. I know for sure she voted Obama twice. not sure about 2016.
In my neighborhood (far NW), we have a couple dozen Trump signs and flags, zero Biden...none have been vandalized that I’ve seen (but we are gated).
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