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To: conservative98

“and a substantial but slightly slipping national polling lead in his pocket.“. Horse manure!

Right now, looking only at the latest swing state polls, President Trump has already exceeded the necessary electoral votes for victory. Two weeks is an eternity in an election cycle, so keep your fingers crossed that things hold. See below (D signifies a democrat pollIng agency that shows trump in the lead ) -

IA: David Binder (D) +6; Data for Progress (D) +1; Hart Research (D) +2; Monmouth Univ. +6;

OH: Civiqs (D) +3; Morning Consult +3; Baldwin Wallace Univ +2; Trafalgar Group +4; Hart Research (D) +2

GA: Morning Consult +2; Landmark Communications (D) +2; University of GA +2; YouGov +2; Monmouth Univ. +5

FL: Trafalgar Group +2; Insider Advantage +3; Democracy Institute +4; Big Data Poll +2; ABC News/Washington Post +4; Marist College +1

AZ: Trafalgar Group +4; Targoz Market Research +1; Data for Progress (D) +1; ABC News/Washington Post +1

NC: UMass-Lowell +1; Harper +1; Trafalgar Group +2; Rasmussen +2

MI: Trafalgar Group +1

Result of above swing states plus solid red states - Mid-270s EVs (Note, this analysis assumes Trump does not take PA or MN, in which polls are mixed)


30 posted on 10/17/2020 8:14:21 PM PDT by Nicojones
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To: Nicojones

Thanks!

That looks very good.


40 posted on 10/17/2020 9:01:02 PM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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