Posted on 08/25/2020 8:11:32 PM PDT by 11th_VA
I wish this were an accurate predictor, but the Staunton city election involved fewer than 5,000 total voters (each voter got to pick 4 at large alderman, which is what inflated the vote totals).
Ralph Northam is so repugnant, and Mark Warner is so vile, that I can’t understand why people who live here could possibly vote ‘Rat.
There is a shot in Virginia. Not huge, but a shot. People are really pissed at the dems.
I've read that internal NY GOP polls show Trump only down 5 in the state.
It should be a landslide for Trump.
There are nine states plus D.C. mailing out ballots to everyone on their list, but Trump lost all of those states in 2016, except for only one. That state is Utah.
I wonder about Oregon and Washington?”
Here in Washington state the I-5 liberal corridor controls the state. We have had mail only vote for about a decade and the tards always find some more votes to win.
Donald Trump was the underdog in 2016, yet he CRUSHED Hillary Clinton in the electoral college.
Now, while many Democrats may believe that Biden will beat Trump in November, Professor Helmut Norpoth suggests that that is a false sense of security.
Professor Norpoth correctly predicted the 2016 presidential election, even as the polls appeared to suggest that Trump would lose to Hillary Clinton.
Norpoth, a political science professor who went viral for his TED Talk "How to Predict Elections," gives President Trump a 91% chance of being reelected.
NINETY-ONE-PERCENT!
We love those odds!
Specifically, Norpoth predicts that Trump will receive 362 electoral votes.
Only 270 is needed to win the White House.
Sorry - not a chance for those two states. They like the chaos and mayhem. My niece lives in Portland and is OK with everything happening there.
I'm aware of the Staunton elections, but that is a far cry from a national election in which Virginia is an afterthought. There is not a Trump push to win in Virginia because he does not need the state.
I've written it before, but we all know that Northern Virginia supplies about a quarter to a third of the state's vote on election day (depending how you define NVA) and it is too much to overcome. The government workers and federal contractors will never vote for Trump regardless of guns.
You and others have told me that the gun owners came out to vote in the state elections last November, so if they did come out to vote as everyone says, exactly whom is going to counter the Northern Virginia vote to win the state for Trump.
The state has gotten more blue in four years. More liberals moving into the state as Amazon starts to establish one of its headquarters in Arlington. More Marylanders moving in from across the Potomac...I would like you to meet my new neighbors who can't wait to vote for Biden and not to mention more foreign born by the droves in NVA - there is no end. Fairfax is now up to 40% foreign born. I do believe Trump may flip some of the Asian Indian vote, which voted 80% for Hillary and that will help.
Fairfax county kills us
Even so,expect a Trump landslide or near landslide win. With old and slow Joe dealing “cognitive issues”,that “cognitive issues” will showcase itself during the debates.
You would think that when one moves,one leaves your political thinking to the curb just like junky stuff.
I’d love to see 3 other states flip. Connecticut, Maine and Rhode Island. I can dream on Connecticut and Rhode Island.
Trump will win New York.
I’m in Manhattan and see Biden and Trump ads every morning on Fox & Friends. NY could very well be in play. #TurnNYRed
After the lobsterman spoke at the RNC, the Maine vote looks good!
My prediction is that Trump will win the electorate bigger than last time but the dems will fill in millions of mail in ballots and do ballot harvesting so much that Biden will win the popular vote by several million and the dems will cry foul because of that and rioting will ensue.
...no clue at the Trump hatred in general, or moreso in the swing states
____________________
Hate as hard as they can, if there aren’t enough of them in the correct area, it doesn’t matter.
Do you have any idea how much hatred and disgust there is for the progs and the thugs? Ever watch expressions as people discuss the recent events? I’m an old lady who has gotten dizzy watching someone have a procedure in an OR that drew blood and there are times lately I want to kill a lot of people. I mean a red-haze-blotting-out-vision & ears ringing sort of fury.
I will be content to watch them reap their just reward, but I wish I could help administer it. Watching this cynical destruction of all that is good (and I have traveled in the world)makes me and a majority of Americans want to puke.
I’m in Wisconsin. It’s a literal sea of Trump/Pence flags and signs. As one young man said to me: America Matters.
Or NY.
That would blow me away.
That was my thought as well.
Those are likely national ads, though, not local.
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