Posted on 07/29/2020 7:48:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Isaias developed in the Eastern Caribbean Sea. All interests along the Florida Peninsula should be prepared for deteriorating weather conditions by Saturday.
For linguistics aficionados, the National Hurricane Center uses the four-syllable pronunciation ees-ah-EE-ahs. The name Isaias is Spanish for Isaiah. To hear a meteorologist pronounce Isaias: NWS Melbourne.
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Exactly I think we are headed that way,we could have storms coming off Africa for quite some time at this point.
Thank you for your local update from PR. Very glad to know you and your family weathered the storm through the night. Please keep up updated when you are able.
My guess is data buoy maintenance or even handing it off to someone else won’t happen til after the election.Lots of holes out there....
Me too... already ready.
Summary Of 800 AM AST...Information
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About 125 MI...W of Ponce PR
About 105 MI...ESE of Santo Domingo DR
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH...
Movement:...NW at 20 MPH
Pressure...1003 MB...
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles...
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
Getting buoy data for recent Hurricane Hanna was an exercise in frustration.
Holy cow, it’s moving right along- barely have time to get extra chocolate:)
Chocolate! Have you discovered Godiva dark chocolate pudding? Not exactly hurricane food. Will work for storm watch needs.
I follow a travel blog of a family living on a boat in Puerto Rico. They were going to hole up in the mangroves of a river during the storm. It will be interesting to read their account when they get back online.
Let us know when you hear updates from the boaters in safe harbor. Mangroves are nature’s best storm barriers.
The most recent (8 am) runs on the GFS (American) place the storm track offshore, running up the east side of Andros, hitting Grand Bahama and showing first hurricane strength winds offshore from Vero. Most recent run on the ECMWF (European) shows the storm not taking the northerly turn, tracking through the Florida Straits and running up the west coast.
Looks like NHC split the difference and called it a forecast.
Prepper Ping : Anyone having to relocate to an evacuation center :
pack 2 covid-19 masks for each person ( including children), and
have an adequate supply of hand sanitizer ,
or you may be denied entry to any hurricane shelter or evacuation center.
Have a seasonally adjusted bug-out bag for each adult, and also each children's bag, individualized children's needs
(including favorite foods, stuffed animals, blanket, sanitary supplies, etc).
If tropical storm Isaias continues on its current anticipated track, it will impact on the Eastern Florida peninsula ,
and will affect the Carolinas, the middle Atlantic States, and possibly into lower New England.
Tentative impact on the State of Florida will occur early Sunday morning (approx. 2 AM)
Florida is already prepping, so local supplies may be in short supply.
Forthcoming for Preppers : Bug-out bags – suggestions for what to have, and for how long an evacuation
My advice is to avoid evacuation centers like the plague (literally). Get on the phone now and contact friends/relatives in safe zones and coordinate with them. Book hotel/motel reservations in safe zones, or find a non-red cross dominated church organized center.
You go to those centers, you lose most of your rights and you are at their whim.
Better pay attention to the European model, it’s more accurate.
Summary Of 1100 AM AST...Information
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About 50 MI...SW of Punta Cana DR
About 165 MI...SE of Puerto Plata DR
Max Sustained Winds...60 MPH...
Movement:...NW at 20 MPH
Pressure...1003 MB...
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles,
primarily to the north of center
Thank you
It certainly was last year. The big question in the immediate case is whether the Euro/UK models have accounted for a high level south-southwest flow which the US-based models project the storm will encounter early Saturday morning. The upper level flow from the south-southwest should counter the lower level south-southeast flow of the storm itself. Is the resulting shear enough to push the storm north? We’ll find out Saturday morning. Upper level south-southwest flow = shear = east coast storm. No upper level flow = more westerly path, maybe a west coast storm.
And you know it’s coming.
It’s just a matter of when.
What’s the status of the dam in China?
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