Posted on 07/08/2020 10:05:56 AM PDT by semimojo
I don’t do polls for this reason. Pure garbage.
I have Trump at 320 EVs. He is ahead of his 2016 totals in PA according to Baris; he’s up in WI according to Trafalgar; and ALL of these admit they are having a doubly tough time than in 2016 in getting to the “shy Trump” voter because of intimidation, etc. In other words, the Trump iceberg of 2016 is about twice as large in 2020.
Finally, see my analysis of the missing student vote in 2020. DemoKKKrats are gonna find themselves 1m students short (minimum)
🚨 🚨🚨
Joe Biden says police have "BECOME THE ENEMY" and calls for CUTTING police funding: "Yes, absolutely!" pic.twitter.com/hV9KyuqhiX— Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022 (@TrumpWarRoom) July 8, 2020
This is a national poll. Trump could be underwater by 40 points in California and New York and that could skew the results. What we need to know is what are polls of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Florida, and Arizona are showing. Biden could win the popular vote by 10 points but if he loses the right combination of those states then Trump is still president.
Thank you. I accept the correction.
Biden is winning every single one of those, with the exception of Iowa, which Trump won by 10 points in 2016, where he is now tied.
It is an across the board Trump rout in the polls.
And the Trump campaign mostly agrees, as seen from the ad spending. They are almost completely on the defensive.
All you worry warts need to chill. THe new Rasmussen poll was taken in the middle of the 4th of July holiday. Dems were home, republican were at Church and celebrating the birth of the nation, not answering polls. No matter, This is going to be a close election and the Dems and their media allies are going to throw everything and the kitchen sink at Trump, but we have lots of time before the election and these polls are nothing more than propaganda by the media at this point. For example, here is a poll released yesterday -that you never heard about -
Democracy Institute-Sunday Express National Poll:
Trump 47
Biden 47
Subsample (IA, FL, MI, MN, PA, WI)
Trump 48
Biden 44
IVR poll conducted between 7/1-7/3 of 1500 respondents.
In fact, according to the British press yesterday, Trump looks like hes on good shape, contrary to the Rasmussen and the mainstream media narrative (funny that we only see this reported in the British press, not the US media) -
Excerpt - Trump SHOCK election poll: Black Lives Matter protests will get Trump re-elected. THE FALLOUT from the Black Lives Matter protests in the US offers Donald Trump his best chance of winning the Presidential election, a shock poll.
Speaks volumes about where America is today. Biden shouldnt be in the same ballpark as Donald Trump. Im glad Im not draft age.
Didn’t mean to correct you...just wanted to add to your post.
Yup, same here. Doesn't early voting start in some states in late September or early October? Yikes.
Doesnt matter, I am always going to assume that he will lose unless I vote.
What we need to know is what are polls of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Florida, and Arizona are showing.
“Biden is winning every single one of those, with the exception of Iowa, which Trump won by 10 points in 2016, where he is now tied.”
No he’s not, see post # 141.
Different company conducting the polls if I remember correctly
I have it, Biden plus 5, but the Electoral College is close.
Biden could win by 4.7 percent and still lose the EC. It just needs to hold AZ. FL. NC and in 2 purple state.
Put needs to hold.
polls polls polls, worthless
I would say up to almost 5 percrnt.
Yeah and so did Hillary.
Most of us consider Ras to be the most unbias of the major polls, but this R’s away D’s home stuff is silly. they adjust the polls to reflect voter turnout. Even so, it seems reasonable to think that people are less inclined to admit support for Trump these days than even 4 years ago. I know I would think twice before admitting it if I was polled.
Polls are garbage except for the ones Mr. Schweikart chooses to believe in? Well that's comforting.
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