No actually not BS. It is what happened during the 1918 flu.
In fact, it is said the quarantines in some areas were too effective and that the resurgence was due to that.
My concern level regarding catching today’s Covid-19 are real, so is my concern over all this isolation of a population. Everything I have read, this is one nasty bug to die from, but at some point they are saying 80% or more of us will get it. It is simply that contagious.
The flattening the curve has little to do with keeping people from catching the virus, it is simply an attempt to slow the virus down and not overwhelm the health care system. It is this part that they are not explaining very well at all. You just don’t want to get this as it goes to peak.
If it’s. Not sporadic today’s #new deaths is an indicator it is turning. We need to see if it’s persistent tomorrow. We have already “spread the disease out” geographically by being just such a big country with so much “flyover zone” what we have are umpteen separate epidemics running their own individual epidemics. At first it seemed to me the disease would continue it’s expected path as if the country were “one”. What we have will be epidemics around each major city. We will ultimately have to have “hard” quarantines around each major urban center as they each enter the exponential phase. I do believe people will start taking isolation seriously as it dawns on people this is really happening.
So we are catching a major break here. We really could top out Monday with 2,000 to 3,000 total deaths. Major break.