INTERNATIONAL MORTALITY RATES UPDATED; WHAT DO THEY TELL US?

Powerline ^ | MARCH 21, 2020 | John Hinderaker

[Hojczyk]

The U.S. has the lowest per capita death rate of this group, tied with Austria, at 0.7 per million, up from 0.3 four days earlier.

Italy has the highest mortality rate by far, at 67 per million. It is too early to gauge the ultimate course of the epidemic, but in crude terms it looks as though Italy is heading for a death rate of something like 100 per million. It could easily go higher than that.

I don’t think the U.S. will experience a mortality rate anywhere near as high as Italy’s, for a number of reasons including our younger population, far fewer smokers, lower population density, a better health care system and early deployment of anti-viral drugs, some of which are likely to prove helpful.

But let’s assume the U.S. ultimately sees a mortality rate of 100 per million. That would be 143 times the current U.S. rate, not outside the realm of possibility. Do the math: if we have around 330 million people, and 100 die per million, that equals 33,000, which would be equivalent to the deaths from an average seasonal flu season. Maybe it’s worse than that; maybe by the time it runs its course, the death toll from COVID-19 rises to 200 per million, 286 times the current rate. That would still be less than the death toll from flu in the U.S. just two years ago.

Maybe the Wuhan virus will prove much worse than any of those crude assumptions suggest. It is too early to rule out that possibility. But policymakers need to consider the possibility that the damage done by the extreme measures being taken to slow the spread of the virus will ultimately prove to be greater than the harm done by the virus itself.

[Hojczyk]

[Diogenesis]

Inquiring minds demand to know:

why did Italy withhold the cure (QC and OHQC), when
informed on Feb 2 it was curative, until a day ago?

why did little Fauci-Clinton ignore the published
data to make the ELECTED PRESIDENT look bad?

[AnotherUnixGeek]

in crude terms it looks as though Italy is heading for a death rate of something like 100 per million. It could easily go higher than that.

That's incredibly high, and it points out systemic issues in Italy that they really need to look at - the inherent flaws of socialized medicine and rationing of health care for the elderly in particular.

[Biggirl]

USA trying to stay on top of it.

[Ann Archy]

HIGH??

[rktman]

Anyone got current numbers on plain old regular everyday run of the mill death rates? I’m pretty sure the U.S. is around 7,000+/-. (Not counting the 150,000,000 from guns!). Anyine? Buehler?

[marktwain]

But policymakers need to consider the possibility that the damage done by the extreme measures being taken to slow the spread of the virus will ultimately prove to be greater than the harm done by the virus itself.

Exactly. And most of this damage can be placed squarely on the doorstep of the legacy media in their attempt to get rid of President Trump.

[Mr Ramsbotham]

We never suffer from disasters the way other countries do. That’s because we have money, which comes from our (what’s left of it) capitalist economy; money to build sturdier structures, innovate in medicine, afford the best nutrition, and a host of other things. What a pity we’re going to destroy it all in the name of fighting a chimera.

[Mouton]

I’m pretty sure the U.S. is around 7,000+/-

Seems close to the rate quoted by Jack Reacher character in
“one shot”.

[RBW in PA]

This graph states that there were 70 Million death in Italy on March 20. I know this is not true, what am we missing here?

[wildcard_redneck]

Predators always panic the herd so that they can attack, kill, and eat the weak.

[proust]

At least it doesn’t have China’s trash data thrown in.

[bitt]

HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE & AZITHROMYCIN, taken together, have a real chance to be one of the biggest game changers in the history of medicine. The FDA has moved mountains - Thank You! Hopefully they will BOTH (H works better with A, International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents).....— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 21, 2020

....be put in use IMMEDIATELY. PEOPLE ARE DYING, MOVE FAST, and GOD BLESS EVERYONE! @US_FDA @SteveFDA @CDCgov @DHSgov— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 21, 2020

[pburgh01]

Yea this is hype when you look at the math in an honest way. For the US this would be like a Saturday afternoon at Beaver Stadium(Penn State) and out of the 100,000 them telling you 10 people will die. Hardly a pandemic as 99,990 will walk out of there alive. Sorry doomers, you’re just doomers.

[rktman]

The “real” Jack Reacher or the ‘mini jack’ played by tom cruise. LOL! I like your sourcing of the data. More credible that the lamestream stuff.

[Antoninus]

And most of this damage can be placed squarely on the doorstep of the legacy media in their attempt to get rid of President Trump.

Legacy media and coastal state governors.

[pburgh01]

Let’s see more doomer math..I want more doomer math...like 1000 tested positive and 100 died therefore it\’s a 10% chance we all die. Come on dumb doomers, dazzle me with your idiocy.

[Savage Beast]

Thank you, President Trump!

[CA Conservative]

that’s not 70 million deaths, that’s 70 deaths per million citizens...