From another article:
“The repatriation of 565 Japanese citizens from Wuhan, China, in late January offered scientists an unexpected opportunity to learn a bit more about the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) raging in that city. To avoid domestic spread of the virus, Japanese officials screened every passenger for disease symptoms and tested them for the virus after they landed. Eight tested positive”
Here’s what I find worrying. 8 people of 565 Japanese citizens tested positive, so 1.5%. I figure that the Japanese who stayed there long enough to need evacuation are businessmen and pretty much live like the locals (albeit a bit more upscale). So the 1.5% number should be representative of the scale of the problem in Wuhan. BUT, if you project the 1.5% number to a population of 10 million, that would mean 150,000 CASES, in Wuhan alone. I looked back and the advertised number then (Jan 29 and 30) was about 8,000 cases, throughout China (although most in Wuhan). The higher number, 150,000, is more in-line with the leaked number over the weekend, that we all seemed to have forgotten about. And this much higher number much better accounts for the 24/7 crematoriums and huge hospital lines they had dating back nearly a month now.
This is where the math comes in again - it is worse, MUCH WORSE, than being advertised, at least in Wuhan, and probably the rest of China. I am glad for Japan that they took that extra step to test everyone, regardless of symptoms, as that knowledge is needed to start seriously addressing this epidemic...along with some 6th grade math to figure out that we’re being lied to.
Yes, it is.
But, but, flu....
Those Japan numbers are the most helpful we have IM<HO.
And, IMHO, eventually there’ll be a 100% infection rate on that cruise ship. Unless they have a very different air circulation system than they need.
They should be moved to an appropriate facility forthwith. At the line’s expense.