Skip to comments.2019 Novel Coronavirus Case is Confirmed in Wisconsin (12th case)
Posted on 02/05/2020 11:59:40 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
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Ironic now they just let in all the mexicans with their hep a.
IMO, it’s already widespread and incubating in countless more folks than we are led to believe. Quarantines will slow it down and potentially save lives, but won’t stop it. The really bad news is that it appears to be contagious before it has symptoms, and have a longish incubation period. It is also very contagious. And of course we have the idiots running around deliberately infecting people. Yeah, the CCP’s official numbers are probably bogus and there are likely many thousands of cases that have gone unreported. But there simply isn’t the capacity to isolate everyone. The number of deaths has already exceeded SARS. The mortality rate for the confirmed cases is still over 2% and the ratio of deaths to recovered is around 50% (so 33% mortality after the disease has run its course). And based on the example of Hubei Province, we’re just getting started. This virus can allegedly be transmitted via animals (unconfirmed) and can live on surfaces as long as 5 days. That, unless I’ve forgotten something, is pretty much the sum of the bad news.
The good news (relative, I know) is that China is very backward in many ways, shiny cities notwithstanding, so the effects there are going to be highly amplified. In the West we have better medical infrastructure and the ability to implement prophylactic measures simply not feasible in China. We have more advance warning and reasonable people, if it gets bad enough, will be prepared and able to hunker down. In the meantime, stock up, avoid crowds (I would have gone to the SOTU if I had had the opportunity, but I can’t think of a large gathering that I would otherwise attend), use antivirals, make sure you have stocks of masks and the above mentioned antivirals, food and water and other prepping type supplies so that if you have to hole up in your house for an extended period you can do so. Pull your kids out of school when you deem it appropriate. Take other action as needed.
Until the numbers of cases in the West start growing exponentially, indicating that quarantines and related isolation precautions have failed, there is no need to freak out, but take reasonable precautions NOW. Then, if containment fails and the mortality vs. recovery rate in the West is close to what we’re seeing in China, we’re screwed and it’s time to bunker up.
We’re not really preppers, but we have supplies and we’re watching closely. I’m prepared to take the kids out of school at any time. You should be, too, but there is still currently no need for full-blown pearl-clutching panic like I am seeing here and there.
And I fear that Africa will be devastated given the enormous Chinese involvement there and lack of infrastructure. It will turn into a reservoir for this disease as it is for so many others.
A similar concern exists for Central America, albeit not as bad. It is, however, much closer.
Hadnt thought about that! Excellent point.
Another 600 'fessed-up-to cases.
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