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The Coming Middle East Conflagration
The Atlantic ^ | 11/4/19 | Michael Oren

Posted on 11/05/2019 5:53:11 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal

The senior ministers of the Israeli government met twice last week to discuss the possibility of open war with Iran. They were mindful of the Iranian plan for a drone attack from Syria in August, aborted at the last minute by an Israeli air strike, as well as Iran’s need to deflect attention from the mass protests against Hezbollah’s rule in Lebanon. The ministers also reviewed the recent attack by Iranian drones and cruise missiles on two Saudi oil installations, reportedly concluding that a similar assault could be mounted against Israel from Iraq.

The Israel Defense Forces, meanwhile, announced the adoption of an emergency plan, code-named Momentum, to significantly expand Israel’s missile defense capacity, its ability to gather intelligence on embedded enemy targets, and its soldiers’ preparation for urban warfare. Israeli troops, especially in the north, have been placed on war footing. Israel is girding for the worst and acting on the assumption that fighting could break out at any time.

And it’s not hard to imagine how it might arrive. The conflagration, like so many in the Middle East, could be ignited by a single spark. Israeli fighter jets have already conducted hundreds of bombing raids against Iranian targets in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq. Preferring to deter rather than embarrass Tehran, Israel rarely comments on such actions. But perhaps Israel miscalculates, hitting a particularly sensitive target; or perhaps politicians cannot resist taking credit. The result could be a counterstrike by Iran, using cruise missiles that penetrate Israel’s air defenses and smash into targets like the Kiryah, Tel Aviv’s equivalent of the Pentagon. Israel would retaliate massively against Hezbollah’s headquarters in Beirut as well as dozens of its emplacements along the Lebanese border. And then, after a day of large-scale exchanges, the real war would begin.

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: iran; middleeast; war

1 posted on 11/05/2019 5:53:11 PM PST by Roman_War_Criminal
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

They just gotta start a war to knock what’s coming off the front page. Israel is glad to supply one.

No more blood for “OY vey”


2 posted on 11/05/2019 6:00:05 PM PST by PetroniusMaximus (<img src=(;.()))
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To: KC_Lion

Ping.


3 posted on 11/05/2019 6:12:06 PM PST by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

Have you been paying attention to Amir’s Middle East updates? He explains a lot of things, that we don’t even consider.


4 posted on 11/05/2019 6:12:41 PM PST by Mark17 (Once saved, always saved. I do not care if some do not like that. It will NEVER be my problem)
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

It’s a pretty big assumption that Israel will start the fight against Iran. Turkey and Saudi Arabia don’t like them much and are much less restrained. Israel will be drawn in because of all the Iranian proxies in the area, but unless Iran goes nuke, I don’t see Israel straying much from their own borderlands.

I believe a second Iranian revolution is more likely than a general Middle East war.


5 posted on 11/05/2019 6:18:36 PM PST by VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals.")
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To: VanShuyten
It’s a pretty big assumption that Israel will start the fight against Iran.

Right. More likely the USA would do so, than Israel. If USA military assets are hit by Iran, I think President Trump would heavily hit Iran. If Israel assets are hit by Iran, Israel won't start a war without an okay from the USA. President Trump held back when a drone was hit, but if people are victims of Iran (Israeli or American) then I think President Trump would give Israel the go-ahead to hit Iran hard.

6 posted on 11/05/2019 6:35:02 PM PST by roadcat
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To: roadcat

Build a safe zone for christians. Call it Lebanon.


7 posted on 11/05/2019 6:53:07 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: VanShuyten

Said this for years: the Iranian revolution will start when we pop EMP’s over Teheran; the mullahs’ command and control will be decapitated and their ability to put down popular revolt will cease to exist.

Iranian Rev Guards & mullahs will be decorating many a lamp post when that happens. Notice how often they threaten to EMP the U.S.? Sounds like projection.


8 posted on 11/05/2019 6:57:34 PM PST by elcid1970 ("The Second Amendment is more important than Islam.")
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To: Roman_War_Criminal
The Coming Middle East Conflagration...

Coming conflagration? When has the Middle East not been conflagrating?!

9 posted on 11/05/2019 7:06:16 PM PST by Rummyfan (In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Support Israel.)
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

From the article, “What if there were a situation in which the survival of the Jewish state were threatened? Would the United States intervene?”

We do not need to. Israel has a very robust military both conventional and nuclear. If the State of Israel were ever threatened with extinction, they will cut off the head of the beast with nuclear weapons. Tehran would be a smoking ruin of sadly much death. It would be millions. I hope this day never comes but fear it will. Tehran is led by insane fanatics. I lived in Tehran during the time of the Shah. The vast majority of those people are good people that now suffer under the yoke of the fanatic Mullahs. They would die also, in a nuclear strike.

ps
Israel has never tested a nuclear weapon. They do not need to. They know our designs worked perfectly.


10 posted on 11/05/2019 7:22:23 PM PST by cpdiii ( canecutter, deckhand, roughneck, geologist, pilot, pharmacist THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR)
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: Roman_War_Criminal

Michael Oren is wrong. Some anti-Christian freaks are always cowering like little kids in the face of a potential “conflagration.” Jeepers, who uses the term “conflagration” anymore? Just little cowards. Problem: Middle East rivalries. Solution: Grace.


12 posted on 11/05/2019 7:57:01 PM PST by Falconspeed
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To: cpdiii
Israel has never tested a nuclear weapon. They do not need to.

I thought they may have, in conjunction with South Africa some decades ago. There was a nuclear blast at a South African test site, caught by our spy satellites. At the time, Israel and South Africa were teaming up in developing nuclear weapons. Of course, neither admits it. South Africa gave up their weapons development, perhaps it was all moved to Israel.

13 posted on 11/05/2019 8:23:48 PM PST by roadcat
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

To: Mark17

I haven’t had the time lately Bro.
What’s he saying that we wouldn’t consider?

A lot of Messianic Jewish writers have stated lately that this entire Israeli Political fallout could actually mark the end of a conservative led Israel and bring in a more left-leaning leadership that is eager for peace at any price with “anybody”.

Hence, why prophetically speaking, Israel will not even act in a military manner when Magog-Gog comes raining down on from the mountains.


15 posted on 11/06/2019 5:31:27 AM PST by Roman_War_Criminal (Like Enoch, Noah, & Lot, the True Church will soon be removed & then destruction comes forth.)
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To: VanShuyten

Some analysts are going as far to say that Turkey & Iran may even start to fight each other for supremacy over northern Syria.

Iraqis have attacked & burned down several IRGC facilities over the past few weeks. Iran has been backpeddling some lately.


16 posted on 11/06/2019 5:34:32 AM PST by Roman_War_Criminal (Like Enoch, Noah, & Lot, the True Church will soon be removed & then destruction comes forth.)
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To: PetroniusMaximus

The Islamic Republic of Iran has been at war with Israel since its founding.
America has never shed blood for Israel. You are a traitor, whose loyalty is to antisemitism


17 posted on 12/16/2019 12:42:52 AM PST by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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