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To: The Pack Knight

There’s nothing to debate. The Tories and the Democratic Unionist Party are going to oppose the no confidence vote on party lines. They constitute a majority, so that will be an end of it.


327 out of 650 is not very much of a majority. I think that it is effectively 327 out of 642, but that leaves room for five desertions—party discipline needs to exceed 98%.

I wouldn’t call it a done deal.


16 posted on 01/16/2019 10:07:40 AM PST by Hieronymus ((It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G. K. Chesterton))
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To: Hieronymus

Party discipline is much stronger in the UK Parliament than it is in our Congress. The parties have a lot more tools to keep their members in line, and defections are rare, particularly in no confidence votes like this one. There hasn’t been a successful no-confidence vote since 1979, and the major parties voted entirely along party lines.


21 posted on 01/16/2019 10:39:40 AM PST by The Pack Knight
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To: Hieronymus

They will vote for her. Its rare for your own party to oppose you on a critical vote, its just that Conservative MPs did not like the Brexit plan on offer.

And they’re not looking forward to new elections.


22 posted on 01/16/2019 10:43:01 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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