Posted on 11/06/2018 8:01:19 AM PST by Lazamataz
It is my birthday today, so I get to post the live thread. :)
Some places to watch:
Politico SenateReal Clear Politics
You people are so easily swayed by propaganda! We are going o win big. Most GOP voters vote in the evening! Remember when all of the experts thought that Hillary had won due to the exit polls! If we are holding our own so far, we are going to break ahead in the evening vote.
Voted for Taylor this morning. The dems spent a lot of money on his unknown female opponent, Elaine Luria. Adds everywhere. I think he holds.
Brat has me worried; Richmond is a cesspool. Comstock is toast.
I think so too...we win big tonight!
In line now, sort mid-morning line. About 20 ahead of me.
Yep, Dems pick up maybe 7 seats at most.
Thanks for setting up the thread!
Yay! Thanks for posting all the links AT THE TOP! I hate looking for a lin that may be on post #123.
When your mom brought you home from the hospital, did they forget to give her the months to years conversion chart?
When you make GOTV phone calls, you don't call the other party's voters. Since we don't have party affiliation as a part of voter registration in GA it can only be inferred by primary voting. You are left with three groups, REP, DEM, and SWING.
I have whole streets in my precinct with NO DEMS listed on them. This is not as surprising at it might seem. I have an overwhelmingly Republican precinct in a county that is heavily Republican.
Laissez le bon Trump rouler!
WWG1WGA
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Hope you're right
Rush is giving you props Larry!!! :)
Beautiful girl. Perfect. She’s your sister?
Turnout seems to be WAY up. I had a half-hour wait to vote this morning in the northeast Houston suburbs. There was almost no wait at the same time of day in 2016 (though there were more workers and machines that year), and almost no wait in 2014.
This is in line with the early voting numbers. In the largest Texas counties, apparently about 40% of registered voters voted early. That is higher than the TOTAL turnout for any mid-term election in Texas since 1994.
My precinct is about 50-50. It went very slightly for Hillary in 2016. I am in what is considered a “safe” Republican Congressional district, TX-02, and Dan Crenshaw is expected to win handily (especially after the free publicity from SNL), but the Democrats seem to be putting a surprising amount of resources into the race.
If I had to venture a guess based on who was in line with me, I’d say the turnout favors Republicans. The line was quiet and no one was talking politics, which suggests to me that I was mostly in line with Republicans, who are usually less likely to blab about their political views among strangers than Democrats. Also, for whatever it’s worth, the voters in line were overwhelmingly white, and the precinct is only about 30-40% white. Of course, this all could just have to do with the time of day I went—these were mostly people heading in to work.
One thing is for sure: I think we can throw out all of the polls. Based on the early-voting numbers and the turnout I saw this morning, I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit 70% turnout for this election, which would be unprecedented. Pollsters apply turnout models to the data when they come up with results, and there’s no model for this.
I have a gut feeling that someone’s going to be in for an unpleasant surprise this evening. I’ve been fairly optimistic to date, but I think all bets are off now.
Larry - Rush just mentioned you. He has one of your articles talking about this election being a shocker. Says he’ll talk about it later.
Happy Birthday, Laz!
What do you get for the man who will do anything?
Happy Birthday, Laz!!!
:-D
Happy B. Day to fellow citizen of PA!
I voted at 7:05 AM in Lower Mount Bethel, PA. Two trucks with Dem signs admonishing me to vote D or else I love sludge in my backyard. I told them I eat sludge for breakfast and I wouldn’t vote D for dogcatcher! I was #39 and my wife was #40 to vote.
“I can’t bear to turn on ANY news channel, today...”
Me, either. Can’t stand the blathering, and want to maintain my peaceful, easy feeling. So I’m listening to (don’t laugh) Engelbert Humperdinck; it’s soothing.
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