Posted on 03/11/2018 7:47:50 AM PDT by Kaslin
Why has North Koreas dictator Kim Jong Un suddenly invited President Trump to talks that include Korean denuclearization?! A Korean nuclear breakthrough may have been achieved a few days after Trump threatened tariffs on Chinese steel exports. Is there a linkage between Chinese steel and North Koreas nukes?
It's too early to even guess whether U.S.Korean talks will resolve anything. However, they will bring the United States and North Koreas top leaders into direct talks for the first time since the end of Korean War hostilities in 1953.
Before Trump even met with Chinas President Xi last November, he had talked about Americas need for Chinese cooperation on the North Korean issue. China has been supplying major percentages of North Koreas urgently needed supplies of oil, food and other necessities. And China has been employing thousands of North Korean workers in China, with their wages paid directly to Kim Jong Uns government.
Recent UN sanctions tightened the screws on North Korea with Chinas gradually increasing help, but the sanctions had not, so far, seemed decisive.
Trump also talked throughout his campaign about China taking advantage of Americas free-trade generosity under the U.S.-led World Trade Agreement framework. There is no question that Western acceptance of Chinese trade expansions re-created a Chinese industrial dominance not seen since Chinas Song Dynasty during the Medieval Warming 700 years ago.
It was hoped that trade and prosperity would mean better relations between the giant American and Chinese economies. That hasnt worked out very well for us - - yet. Chinas drive to share world power has led to conventional, nuclear and space arms races. Theres now even a Chinese hypersonic jet fighter that flies more than 7500 miles per hour! More constructively, Chinese financing is stimulating power plants and infrastructure projects in more than 60 countries.
In steel, China has become the dominant world force. It now makes half the worlds steel, producing as much today as the whole world produced in the year 2000. During the same period, the U.S. share of global steel production dropped from 12 percent to 5 percent. Trump correctly warns that we are now flirting with a serious national security problem if we cannot produce adequate steel and aluminum for our defense needs.
America doesnt import much Chinese steel directly. Most of our imported steel comes from Canada. However, if U.S. tariffs cracked open the current world free trade pattern, China would be directly in the line of fire.
North Korea is clearly a satellite of China, and so has enjoyed the protection of Chinas already large nuclear capability. Did the North Koreans really need their own nukes to feel safe? The Chinese until now have cheerfully watched our growing discomfort about North Korean use of nuclear technology for both itself and for the Muslim mullahs in Iran.
Now, however, China may be recognizing that the launch of Kim Jun Uns nuclear ballistic missiles would set off a major nuclear conflict. Even in the short term, Kims aggressive stance could mean nuclear weapons in Taiwan, Japan and South Korea. And Guam.
During the Song dynastys 13th-century reign, Chinese exports of brocades, silks, spices and porcelain launched the worlds first-ever economic take-off. Chinas long-ago affluence, unfortunately, was cut short by Genghis Khans invading Mongol Horde. The Mongols diverted Chinese trade profits into two failed invasions of Japan that were wrecked by typhoons. The nomads even so held China until the harsh weather of the Little Ice Age brought famine and destruction to the whole of Eurasia.
Since 1850, China has been hobbled by foreign occupations (European and then Japanese), by civil war between the Republic of China and the Chinese Communists, and by finally the turmoil of Mao-Zedongs Great Famine (1959-61) and then his Cultural Revolution.
I was disappointed that Trump hadnt stressed Chinas trade dependence more heavily in his first meetings with Xi. Has President Trump now warned China that its current and future economic well-beingand the survival of Xis governmentare directly dependent on free trade with well-off customers in other nations?
Maybe now he has. Maybe the threat of steel tariffs was a message Xi can hear and pass on to North Koreas power elite.
Interesting speculation
Meh.
The article stumbles in the tenth paragraph.
Taiwan has had a nuclear arsenal since the early eighties.
I think the author is exactly correct in his analysis. The coincidence in time of the tariffs and North Korea’s sudden change of heart is not a coincidence at all. The tariffs show China that Trump is not a empty threat to them. The Chinese essentially dictate to North Korea. Thus the seeming diplomatic miracle. Thank you, President Trump.
Based on many events and “Q” posts it was certainly implied there’s a link - I made that question on another thread.
I’m wondering how putting tariffs on China’s steel changes the economic landscape and how that might relate to NK’s activities. Maybe there’s a link that isn’t purely economic(?).
I thought it was linked to the implosion of their nuclear mountain.
Q did more than just imply that Trump and Lil’ Rocket Man have already met last November.
An expert on North Korea stated recently that
North Korea will be bankrupt by this summer.
this may be the reason “rocket boy” wants to meet!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.