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First poll released for US Senate candidates in ND
kfyrtv.com ^ | Feb 27, 2018 | Bo Evans

Posted on 02/28/2018 8:29:58 AM PST by 11th_VA

BISMARCK, N.D. - The first of what is expected to be many polls looking at the U.S. Senate candidates for North Dakota was released Tuesday, showing incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., with a narrow lead over Rep. Kevin Cramer, R, N.D.

Heitkamp leads Cramer 43 to 40 with 17 percent of voters still undecided, which is unsurprising as the election is still months away.

The poll was conducted online by Gravis Marketing with 385 respondents and a margin of error of 5 percentage points. Heitkamp trails among Trump supporters by a wide margin but has a lead among white voters. Cramer has a tight with older voters.

“I think North Dakota is a key state if the Democrats are going to win the Senate this year they have to win North Dakota. It's a state that many think that the Republicans will pick up based on how Trump formed in North Dakota,” said Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing.

The poll also looked at the House race which shows Tom Campbell leading the pack at 28 percent of voters. Kelly Armstrong is in second with 13 percent, but nearly half of voters are undecided.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Dakota
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; dougkaplan; election2018; election2020; heidiheitkamp; heitkamp; kellyarmstrong; kevincramer; nd2018; northdakota; tomcampbell
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Incumbent under 45%, great news for Republicans - we NEED this seat.
1 posted on 02/28/2018 8:29:58 AM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

We NEED more Senators who side with the citizens and the rule of law.

Currently there are just FOUR.

This guy could be # 5.


2 posted on 02/28/2018 8:36:24 AM PST by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here of Citizen Parents__Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: 11th_VA

Not bad but we’re losing this country. We need a better strategy to defeat illegal immigration. I believe the American people overwhelmingly oppose illegals.


3 posted on 02/28/2018 8:42:06 AM PST by Williams (Stop tolerating the intolerant.)
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To: 11th_VA
More than likely BS. Polls show the result the guy paying for it wants to show. Most polls totally, unquestionably 🐂💩.
4 posted on 02/28/2018 8:42:13 AM PST by GoldenPup
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To: 11th_VA

23 dems up for re-election, including many in states Trump won.

Two “independents” up for re-election....Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine....two liberals who caucus with the RATS.

Only eight Republicans up for re-election in the Senate this year.

The math is against the RATS this election cycle.


5 posted on 02/28/2018 8:46:51 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (No DACA Caca....Send the Nightmares home. "Americans are Dreamers, too." President Trump)
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To: 11th_VA

Hmmmm.... So how did Heidi vote on the very popular tax cut bill? Oh, she’s a Democrat so that must mean she voted...NO!


6 posted on 02/28/2018 8:51:06 AM PST by PJ-Comix ("Everybody knows Manny Davis - except Mrs. Manny Davis.")
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To: 11th_VA

Gravis not reliable. Love to see PPD poll ND.

Bet Gravis is using 2012 voter reg #s.


7 posted on 02/28/2018 9:04:45 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation

I think you’re incorrect. The genius who leads the Republicans in the Senate predicted last week that we’d lose seats in the Senate. The stupid is strong in him, you see.


8 posted on 02/28/2018 9:25:26 AM PST by j.havenfarm ( 1,000 Posts as of 8/11/17! Still not shutting up after all these years!)
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To: 11th_VA
The Big 10

If you live in these states, do what you can to defeat these Senators. It's not too early!

9 posted on 02/28/2018 9:33:53 AM PST by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: 11th_VA

As a rule of thumb, any margin of error at five percent and above and the poll should be jettisoned.


10 posted on 02/28/2018 9:42:00 AM PST by Bookshelf
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To: 11th_VA

And, I do believe we get this seat.

Trump’s visits and rallies in various states are going to have an enormous effect.


11 posted on 02/28/2018 9:55:04 AM PST by Conserv
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To: 11th_VA

Democrats spend big bucks attacking the likes of Graham in South Carolina. I’ve seen billboards and radio ads. Has the GOP been going against the likes of Heitcamp? No. If the Dems pull it out in November it will simply be because they want to win more than the GOP does.


12 posted on 02/28/2018 9:57:36 AM PST by lodi90
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To: 11th_VA

Heitkamp is a good campaigner, but anti-gun nonsense and the rabid Leftism of the dems will help Kramer, who is not.


13 posted on 02/28/2018 9:59:28 AM PST by Fightin Whitey
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To: Williams

Sadly. I believe the RNC is more comfortable with being the opposition party rather than leading.

Fund raising is more lucrative "promising" changes than delivering compromises that may not meet your big donor's requirements.

The RNC is losing formerly republican-held state races all over the country in my opinion, on purpose.

14 posted on 02/28/2018 9:59:30 AM PST by John 3_19-21 (New Media creed: "a story so great no need to verify it!".)
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To: 11th_VA

“Heitkamp trails among Trump supporters by a wide margin but has a lead among white voters”

This is statistically impossible, as virtually everyone in ND is white.


15 posted on 02/28/2018 10:19:14 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Demographics destroys cultures more completely than thermonuclear war.)
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To: j.havenfarm

If I was on a visit to Washington and Mitch McConnell told me it was raining outside, I would go outdoors and check for myself.

Mitch was too comfortable being the minority leader.


16 posted on 02/28/2018 10:21:56 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (No DACA Caca....Send the Nightmares home. "Americans are Dreamers, too." President Trump)
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To: 11th_VA
Incumbent under 45%, great news for Republicans - we NEED this seat.

| This far out it doesn't really indicate much. But I agree that this is one of the most winnable Senate seats currently held by the Democrats. However it isn't going to be easy and is going to go down to the wire. But in Cramer the GOP has the best candidate for the job.

17 posted on 02/28/2018 10:26:01 AM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation
The math is against the RATS this election cycle.

Never underestimate the GOP's ability to screw things up.

18 posted on 02/28/2018 10:27:51 AM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: lodi90

Is Graham up for reelection this cycle?


19 posted on 02/28/2018 10:36:22 AM PST by Howe_D_Dewty
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To: 11th_VA

With so much apath from Republican viters, I dont see how they hold congress. The House will go easily to the Rats and I think the Rats hold all their seats in the Senate and pick up AZ and NV for the majority.


20 posted on 02/28/2018 10:36:38 AM PST by Angels27
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