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Italy's Apocalypse
Daniel Pipes ^ | 11/2/17 | Daniel Pipes

Posted on 11/02/2017 5:12:31 AM PDT by markomalley

When thinking about migrants and Islam, Italy is not a country that comes to mind.

Unlike its northern neighbors, Italy had no economic miracle that required the massive importation of labor. It lacks a deep bond to some major source of migration, such as South Asia for Great Britain. It has not experienced major acts of jihadi violence such as France has. Unlike Sweden, one does not hear tales of crazy appeasement and unlike Belgium there are no partial no-go zones. Unlike the Netherlands, no flamboyant anti-Islamic politician has emerged comparable to Geert Wilders and unlike Germany no anti-immigration party has become a significant political force.

But, no less than its northern counterparts, Italy deserves attention for it is undergoing massive changes. Arguably, they are even more pressing, far-reaching, and denied more than in the better-known countries.

For starters, there's geography. Not only does Italy's famous boot stick prominently into the Mediterranean Sea, making the country a tempting target for sea-borne illegal migrants, but Italian territory reaches into North Africa: the small island of Lampedusa, population 6,000, lies just 70 miles (113 km) off the coast of Tunisia and 184 miles (300 km) from Libya. In 2016, 181,000 migrants entered Italy, nearly all of them illegal, nearly all by sea.

It was challenge enough when Libya's Muammar Qaddafi turned the migrant flow on and off, thereby winning concessions from Italy in a game that anticipated what Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdoğan now plays with Germany. But since Qaddafi's overthrow in October 2011, the anarchy in Libya presents even greater problems. At least Qaddafi could efficiently be paid off; how much more difficult to deal with a myriad of local strongmen and people-smugglers.

Exacerbating the trend toward what the French intellectual Renaud Camus calls a grand replacement of populations, 285,000 Italians left their homeland in 2016, a major increase over prior years.

Then there's history. The Muslim presence in Sicily lasted nearly five centuries, 827-1300, and although less celebrated than Andalusia, Islamists remember that era and want Sicily back. Rome, the seat of the Catholic Church, represents a paramount symbol of Islamist ire and ambition, making it highly likely to be a target of jihadi violence.

Demographic trends are even worse than in northern Europe, with a Total Fertility Rate (the number of children per woman) of 1.3, well below that of neighboring France (2.0). The journalist Giulio Meotti tells me that the migrant TFR is almost 2.0 and the indigenous Italian is about 0.9. Some small towns face extinction; one of them, Candela, which has seen its population shrink from 8,000 in the 1990s to 2,700 today, has responded by offering cold cash to induce economically productive immigrants to settle there. Italy's health minister, Beatrice Lorenzin, has called the demographic trend "an apocalypse."

In combination, these factors spell a civilizational crisis for Italy. But the wall of denial is close to complete. Yes, the Northern League and the Five-Star Movement oppose unfettered immigration but this is not their focus. However lopsided and dismissive the debate about immigration and Islamism in the north, it is yet worse in Italy. Voices that confronted these issues a decade ago, such as Magdi Allam, Oriana Fallaci, Fiamma Nirenstein, Emanuele Ottolenghi, and Marcello Pera, no longer resonate. Denial prevails.

Pope Francis has established himself as a leading advocate of unimpeded migration and the uncritical welcoming of migrants, rendering more difficult a sensible discussion of this issue. Adding to the political drift, the clueless government of Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni promotes standard left-wing bromides, barely acknowledging the tectonic shift now underway.

After traveling to 12 cities and towns in Italy, I came away with the impression that the crisis is just too awful for most Italians to cope with. (American readers might compare this to their countrymen's reluctance to confront the threat of electromagnetic pulse.) A vignette captured the new Italy for me in a park in Padua: A statue is surrounded by four benches. Seven elderly Italian women squeeze onto one bench while eight African men spread out on the other three benches. This scene summed up both mutual distaste and the migrants' abundant sense of superiority.

What will it take for Italians to wake up and begin to deal with the demographic and civilizational catastrophe facing their uniquely attractive culture? My guess: A major jihadi attack in Rome.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: danielpipes; europe; europejihad; hijrah; italy

1 posted on 11/02/2017 5:12:31 AM PDT by markomalley
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To: markomalley

A liberals response regarding your vignette would be to accuse the elderly women of being homophobes for not joining the the migrants on the other benches. So get ready for that....(I’ve read so many liberal tweets I know how they think now.)


2 posted on 11/02/2017 5:21:05 AM PDT by lilypad
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To: markomalley

Il papa hopes to be eaten last...


3 posted on 11/02/2017 5:30:52 AM PDT by mewzilla (Was Obama surveilling John Roberts? Might explain a lot.)
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To: markomalley

Wait till Muslims start destroying said statues and antiquities. Major museums will be a target.


4 posted on 11/02/2017 5:45:25 AM PDT by A_perfect_lady (Why pay to get lectured by Hollywood on how awful whiteness is when MSM does it for free?)
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To: markomalley
with a Total Fertility Rate (the number of children per woman) of 1.3

This self extinction is a result of the high taxes of socialism, the leftist culture of death, and loss of Christianity.

5 posted on 11/02/2017 6:13:08 AM PDT by bkopto
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To: markomalley

They get plenty of North Africans coming in. But they bottle them up and vet them extremely in Calabria. Still, if you go to Milano, you will see plenty.


6 posted on 11/02/2017 6:13:14 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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To: A_perfect_lady

How true....destroy history. Where have we heard that before?? Oh, yes, Middle East, Israel, Asia, America...!!!

Go back to church and worship GOD is the only answer to God’s earth returning to something where one wants to live with joy, peace, love and hope! Europe and America are abandoning their souls for Satan’s and this is the result. All one has to do is look at their life and see the difference between kingdom decisions and non-kingdom decisions and which ones set you back!

No burka for me! No worshiping everything God said not to do and calling it peace.


7 posted on 11/02/2017 6:17:30 AM PDT by YouGoTexasGirl
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To: markomalley

Europe is lost. In 30 years, much of it will probably look like any craphole city in the middle east, and be just as dangerous to visit.


8 posted on 11/02/2017 6:19:42 AM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: markomalley

I work with a guy who’s father immegrated from Italy. He went through the process to obtain citizenship for himself, his wife and two kids. It’s pretty complicated and time consuming process, he had to get his and his wife’s criminal records (they had none) sent to the Italian consulate and he had to travel twice to the consulate 150 miles away in NYC.

His father still has a small house in Italy and his father’s hope is that the two sons will someday keep it in the family, share it.

So anyway, this guy is wildly leftist and use to brag often that socialism in Italy was his backup plan.

He use to vacation in Italy for 2-3 weeks every year, but this is the first year we hasn’t. He won’t admit why he’s not going. He’d sooner sacrifice the house, his heritage and all the work getting citizenship than admit why.

As Limbaugh says: “Liberals are liberals first”.


9 posted on 11/02/2017 7:08:00 AM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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To: markomalley

In dealing with Muslim murderers and invaders, Italy needs more Tony Sopranos.


10 posted on 11/02/2017 7:25:51 AM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: markomalley

I have family in Italy you say that the majority of Muslims are peaceful. They are fed that line from the government. Italy might not have had any major terrorist attack - yet – but can’t they see the pattern in the rest of the world? Or just right across their borders?


11 posted on 11/02/2017 7:37:55 AM PDT by CottonBall (Thank you, Julian!)
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To: Sicon

“Europe is lost. In 30 years, much of it will probably look like any craphole city in the middle east, and be just as dangerous to visit.”

Or worse..craphole American cities.


12 posted on 11/02/2017 8:03:56 AM PDT by Bonemaker
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To: CottonBall

“I have family in Italy you say that the majority of Muslims are peaceful. They are fed that line from the government. Italy might not have had any major terrorist attack - yet – but can’t they see the pattern in the rest of the world? Or just right across their borders?”

Damn shame...the nation that gave us Rocky Marciano is now a nation of Woody Allens.


13 posted on 11/02/2017 8:05:54 AM PDT by Bonemaker
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To: mewzilla

Perhaps we can exile Saipov to the Vatican.


14 posted on 11/02/2017 8:17:24 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: Sicon

<>Europe is lost. In 30 years, much of it will probably look like any craphole city in the middle east, and be just as dangerous to visit.<>

Which is our certain future until President Trump convinces congress to declare war on islam.


15 posted on 11/02/2017 10:50:14 AM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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