Dems need to run up early voting/absentee totals because GOP does historically well on election day. GOP goal is to keep it close in early voting and overwhelm on election day. This is the Iowa pattern.
Absentee Ballot REQUESTS by Party at equivalent points in time for 2012 and 2016 elections (13 days from election):
10/24/12: DEM 250,398; GOP 175,111; Other 139,813
10/26/16: DEM 219,284; GOP 174,991; Other 111,484
DEM and Other down considerably this year. GOP even with 2012. Looking good overall. Will post RETURNS starting Monday. I expect 90% of ballot REQUESTS to be returned for all parties but we will confirm that.
My guess with unaffiliated requests down is dem leaning college students/voters not requesting ballots as heavily as 4 years ago. This is my hunch.
1 posted on
10/26/2016 2:31:32 PM PDT by
Ravi
To: LS; SpeedyInTexas; right-wingin_It
Ping. Again for the uninitiated, this only tells us WHO is voting not HOW someone is voting. We will find that out on November 8th.
2 posted on
10/26/2016 2:33:11 PM PDT by
Ravi
To: Ravi
That’s more than 10 percent drop for dems. That’s HUGH And SERIES!!
3 posted on
10/26/2016 2:39:06 PM PDT by
dp0622
(IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
To: Ravi
I think we see excellent early voting trends now in IA, NC, FL. Focus should be to turn up the hear in AZ, PA & NH, followed by MI & WI. Then CO, and lastly NV
NV - I don't like the early voting trend there
To: Ravi
I can't blame them for no enthusiasm.
Hell, the whole thing was rigged.
8 posted on
10/26/2016 2:55:31 PM PDT by
Bogie
To: Ravi
Lots of students and hipsters feelin’ the “Bern”
9 posted on
10/26/2016 3:00:31 PM PDT by
silverleaf
(Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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