Hard to fathom, but looking at the graphs of different subgroups of the sample the one things that appears to have happened is a decline in female support for Trump over the last couple of days. Are women really so stupid they would fall for the “she was fat” propaganda?
They are minor fluctuations in the polls.
A strong performance by Trump on Sunday night should again increase his lead.
Hillary gained a point, which statistically speaking, is insignificant.
Not good.
Down .4? Is this breaking news? Most people will probably think he is down 4 points and will feel alarmed.
Impossible!! Why would Trump lose ground after spending a week talking about his feud with Miss Universe??? She got fat! Everyone hates fat chicks!! He’s RIGHT on the issues!
WHERE ARE THE ADS?!?!?!?!?
A Freeper just stated that he has seen Hillary ads non-stop and not a single Trump ad yet... in NC!!!!
People tirelessly watching polls as though they were fact, when in fact they are about as useful as weather forecasts and stock market predictions.
This follows the pattern we’ve been seeing with this poll. One day Trump goes up big and then the poll tightens back until the next time that sample comes up in the rotation again. This is driven by the specific samples since they’re surveyed repeatedly. Unless something significant happens we should see this stay tight until another big boost for Trump.
The Crooked Criminal retakes the lead in the Daily Rasmussen Poll. She’s up by 1. He was up by 2 yesterday. Just damn
Guys, this is a 7 day moving average poll. That means the current average is directly affected by the polling days that fall off, as much as the impact of the new polling on he 7th day. Look at the chart and count back 7 days. The day that rolled off of the average was one where trump had a sizable bump and Hildabeast a sizable drop. That has now fallen out of the average. So, was this the sole cause of today’s movement? No, it was a combination of that days poll falling off and last nights polling. We’ll need to wait a few days to see if the trend is negative. However, my guess is that trump had an average polling day yesterday and a really good day dropped off, leaving the modest decline today. That is how you need to review this poll, folks
BAD DAY!!!
RASMUSSEN TRACKER shows Trump lost three points.
Down one point today after being up two yesterday.
Does this Clintoon bumper sticker make my butt look fat?
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NEVER FORGET
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..from the Beginning, students in a now Comminist Vietnam are taught to HATE Capitalism daily. HILLARY actively supported a Communist Victory over FREEDOM during the Vietnam War. Her mother was Secretary to the President of the Communist Party of America, which has just endorsed HILLARY for President of a still FREE USA. “Danger, Will Robinson, Danger.”
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NEVER FORGET
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Separately, new poll in Indiana... Bayh up only 1 over Young. Young surging, and he probably wins a state the Dems thought for sure they would win
Folks, to better understand the day-to-day changes in a rolling daily poll like this one, you should, in addition to other things, look at the day that rolled off.
For example, yesterday’s result 10/6 (posted today, 10/7):
10/6
Trump 46.2
Clinton 43.6
This is a 7-day rolling poll, so its range is 9/30 to 10/6. The day that rolled of was 9/29:
9/29
Trump 47.3, a strong day rolled off, replaced by a not as strong day.
Clinton 41.7, a weak day rolled off, replaced by a better day.
Trump 46.2 - 47.3 = -1.1
Clinton 43.6 - 41.7 = 1.9
A very good day rolled off for Trump and a very bad day rolled off for Clinton is probably the primary reason for the 10/5 vs 10/6 change.
The chart that I used for this is at:
So polls are more accurate than Hitlery’s small “rallies” and Trump’s, “had to turn thousands away rallies”???
Can we process/analyze this a bit? Real people attend or don’t attend these (don’t attend, in Hitlery’s case); no leading questions, no slant, no agenda.
Pollsters, however...
Be hopeful, keep your head up.
FOX News poll... Clinton up only 2. I expected more, so this isn’t bad