Posted on 09/24/2016 4:51:10 PM PDT by ConquerWeMust
Clinton has been sitting at 301 EVs for weeks in the RCP no toss up states average. Just today she is down to 272. One more state needed.
Which one? CO, NH, PA, VA, WI?
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
If RCP isn’t hiding it, Trump’s up big league.
CO, NH, or maybe unlisted VT on gun issues
* Michigan
* Pennsylvania
* Wisconsin
If he doesn't, then this campaign was just a waste of time and energy for a lot of people. His whole focus here has been an "America first" strategy aimed at getting middle-class Democratic voters in these Rust Belt states.
If he gets no more than 266 Electoral Votes in November, then there probably isn't a single state in his column that JEB BUSH couldn't have won.
The Clinton people never envisioned having so many states to defend at this stage of the election. They’ve already poured a kazillion dollars into ads; The Donald has barely started with the media advertising, and what advertising he’s done has been positive, not bitching and smearing (Classic Clinton).
NM or CO.
Maine gets us the tie
Trump really needs to win ONE of these three:
* Michigan
* Pennsylvania
* Wisconsin
OR New Mexico
OR Colorado
New Hampshire gets the win.
Yesterday's endorsement from Cruz has real meaning. Especially in Colorado.
Tough rows to hoe
Yes you keep repeating that even though it appears he can win with other states such as Colorado and NH.
Who do you think would have done better nationally against Hillary and the media than Trump? I would love to hear that answer and justification.
I'm looking at the 2012 election map and the 235 EVs Romney won. If you add Iowa's 6 EVs and Ohio's 18 EVs you get to 259. How are you projecting this to fall out with more than 270 in Trump's column?
For the sake of these predictions I've left the possibility of split EVs in Maine or Nebraska out of the mix.
Understood. I’m going beyond his minimal requirement for the Electoral College here. The GOP may lose the Senate if he wins a very close race.
When I look at the Electoral map I see Illary at 260 and Trump at 259 with only Colorado-(9), Neveda-(6) and New Hampshire-(4) as the deciding states. Both candidates need to win two of those. Interstingly, Trump can win it with NV and NH and the vote in the House of Reps - forcing the no good, lying, scum-sucking weasels like Paul Ryno to either vote for him, or say goodbye to their political careers.
That is if it is a close election. Hillary better hope it is. I don’t see any chance or her having a blow-out night, but I see a good chance of everything breaking Trump’s way the last few weeks and him getting 337 by winning all three plus Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
CO, NH, and WI....
I think CO, NH, PA, VA, and WI are all viable possibilities for Trump. Looking at his schedule he’s definitely spent the most time in PA and VA, but the other three may actually be better states for him to win. He’s still only made two stops in WI (none recently) and four each in CO and NH.
CO polls seem to be the ones closing the fastest. Perhaps he should really concentrate in on that state and see if he can’t take a consistent lead there. NH might also be a good state to go all in on, because it’s so small it’s bound to be fairly cheap to blanket the state with ads and build up a thorough ground game everywhere there. Each campaign stop there will also reach a larger percentage of the state’s population than in a big state like PA. I hope he works at least to an extent on winning all these states, though, just in case the ones he’s counting on don’t come through. And wouldn’t it be great if he could win over 300 EVs?
Trump looks set to win FL and he will win OH.
232 + 29 = 251, 251 + 18 = 269. That would be a tie and throw the race into the House Of Representatives.
For the win, Trump needs NV, CO, VA, or NH.
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