All of the recent polls show the opposite. This poll has a %5 MOE, so it’s basically worthless.
Most of these polls are worthless.
And I’m a supporter of Mr. Trump.
>> All of the recent polls show the opposite. This poll has a %5 MOE, so it’s basically worthless <<
I seem to recall having learned in my statistics class that about one out of every 20 polls is expected to be wrong by more than the margin of error.
(That’s because the MOE is usually taken as plus-or-minus two standard deviations from the mean — a range that is expected to include approximately 95% of the data at issue, under the assumption of a Gaussian or “normal” probability distribution.)
So maybe this poll is just an example of the one-in-twenty that’s expected to be wrong.