Um, Five Thirty Eight has him without the extra 9 at 107% of where he needs to be, Cruz at 67%.
But with winner take all, the percentages go out the window.
538 has him at 107% based on what they expect him to win going forward. That is speculative. As of this point, he has 31% of the delegates needed (giving him the extra 9), with 37% of the delegates already selected.