Posted on 02/04/2016 2:29:28 PM PST by SeekAndFind
“Looks like its over for Teddy.”
Actually, if Trump doesn’t hold on to his lead in NH, it’s over for Donny.
This is all about expectations. Trump built himself up as a “winner”, “that’s all I ever do is win, you’re gonna get sick of winning...”
Now he’s on very friendly turf in the northeast, and has locked down the endorsements of Scott Brown, Bob Dole and Jimmy Carter. NH is the state for moderates — in past elections, it’s gone to McCain (twice) and Romney. In this race, the two most viable moderate candidates are Trump and Rubio.
Cruz would be happy with a 3rd place finish and not hurt too badly if he finished 4th. He benefits from Rand dropping out and the Libertarian vote in the state and his solid ground game, which will be a factor in every state. These should be enough to solidify 3rd and possibly squeeze ahead of Marco for 2nd. The debate on Saturday will obviously play a major role in that as well.
As for Carsongate, outside of the Trumpbot circle jerk here on FR, this story appears to be losing traction and will likely be old news by Saturday. It may play a small role in the NH primary next week, but probably won’t be a decisive factor.
RE: Apparently this poll shows 37% will never vote for Trump, higher number than last.
As I noticed before, Trump has never, in any poll gone consistently higher than 35 to 38%.
This tells me that:
1) He has die hard followers
BUT
2) The other huge majority ( 62 to 65% ) are not attracted to him.
Where will their votes go? THAT remains to be seen.
209 likely voters, +/- 6.9 MOE
Well a Sanders win will be enjoyable to watch anyway.
With this MOE, It looks like Trump wins NH. His gap with Rubio is close to outside of that.
I don’t think Trump is going to win New Hampshire. He had it in the bag until he went all sore loserman and started acting like a two year old.
People don’t like sore losers.
Rubio is probably going to go ahead of Trump and Trump is going to have another cow.
This election may end up getting decided at the convention. In which case the GOPe candidate will win.
Watch out for Rubio. Snakes slither.
I for one will never, ever vote for Trust Fund Donnie. If he somehow got nominated and it came down to him against Hillary or Sanders, I’d vote Libertarian.
Hank
It became "Live FOR Free or Die."
Hardly. Cruz never had realistic hopes of taking the liberal ministates of the NE. That's Trump territory.
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