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To: catnipman

Oh, you mean the link I provided myself in the heading? Yes, I meant “who say they will vote in the primaries.”

The distinction is that Reuters gets BIGGER margins for TRUMP than other pollsters by believing voters when they say they will vote.

Other pollsters set their likely voter pool by demographically altering their results to match the profile of 2012 GENERAL ELECTION voters.

If the turnout is typical of actual primary voters, the result will skew waaaay more towards Cruz, but I find plausible the argument that Trump will inspire people who don’t normally vote to come out to the polls... even though those people normally lie to pollsters and say they’re “absolutely certain” they’ll vote.


67 posted on 01/27/2016 10:32:58 AM PST by dangus
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To: dangus

“Yes, I meant “who say they will vote in the primaries.””

then why did it take 66 posts before you corrected your “error” and only RIGHT AFTER someone pointed out the egregious nature of said error?


69 posted on 01/27/2016 10:49:53 AM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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