First, it looks to be a national, online poll. Second, though the Trump national lead over Cruz is consistent with other polls the internals are not.
Other polls have shown that Cruz has large leads in the evangelical and very conservative categories. If Cruz’ margins in these groups has suddenly switched over to Trump that begs the question — why are Trump and Cruz still polling where they were? One would expect to see Trumps numbers much higher and Cruz’ numbers down with Jeb.
That hasn’t happened. So, where did Cruz get his new found support from if not the evangelicals and very conservative voters who are, apparently, flocking to Trump and what group is abandoning Trump for Cruz to keep their overall numbers in close approximation to where they have been?
Bogus internals.
The disagreements around here are over whether that's good or bad with reference to the general election.
I love evangelicals and very conservative people, I surround myself with them in my personal life.
But in politics, they seem to be a negative force with regard to the outcome of elections.
If they were running the country, it would be on the whole a good thing - but unfortunately, we still use elections for making those decisions.
I don’t think the national evangelical numbers just jumped to Trump. I’ve seen a few articles with similar numbers over the last few weeks to months. I think they’re just emphasizing it in this article because it’s so close to the Iowa caucus. In other words, the numbers have been fairly consistent.