You're wrong because you think the people supporting Trump's campaign don't know what they are doing.
For most of us, Trump is not our first choice (I prefer Cruz).
The fact is: If Trump drops out, or Cruz takes the lead, the media will pulverize Cruz in a matter of days. That's a fact. Otherwise, Sarah Palin would have been president long before today.
Unlike others, you have learned something here at FR in your 17 years. :)