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Donald Trump is in First Place in GOP Primary Poll
Vox News ^

Posted on 07/09/2015 6:09:00 PM PDT by Din Maker

Donald Trump has been inching upward in the polls lately, and now we finally have one from The Economist and YouGov showing him in a clear first place.

"Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender," Kathy Frankovic writes at YouGov. "Just one in five of Trump's supporters think Trump will win the nomination." Other tidbits Frankovic points out are that Trump's supporters tend to back the Tea Party and to identify as "very conservative," and are less likely to be college-educated.

The new poll is probably a bit dispiriting for Jeb Bush, though. He had gotten a small bump to first place in three national polls conducted after his June announcement, and his team clearly hoped this would finally let him break away from the rest of the large field. Now, though, he's down at 11 points, tied for second with Rand Paul. This new poll could be an outlier, or it could be the first sign that Jeb's announcement bounce has worn off. (Bush's fantastic fundraising news should help with any disappointment he feels, though)

But Trump's 15 percent is not a particularly impressive performance in a crowded field — Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, and Mike Huckabee have all hit or passed that number in at least one poll. Also, Trump hasn't yet led any polls in Iowa or New Hampshire, which are generally more important than national polls. Still, it's national polls that are being used to determine which candidates qualify for the first GOP debate, and Trump clearly makes that cut at this point.

But the big question about whether Trump will show up on stage in Cleveland on August 6 isn't about his polling — it's about whether he'll actually turn in the required financial disclosures to the FEC. As Slate's Josh Voorhees writes, many are skeptical that Trump would publicly disclose so many details of his "business empire." It's up to Trump to prove them wrong.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; 2016polls; donaldtrump; election2016; joshvoorhees; newyork; slate; trump
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To: Snickering Hound

Jeezuz that’s frightening!


61 posted on 07/09/2015 7:01:30 PM PDT by Bobalu (If we live to see 2017 we will be kissing the ground)
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To: onyx

Trump is on Hannity now.


62 posted on 07/09/2015 7:05:07 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Din Maker

Yeeeeeee HA! Let ‘er buck!


63 posted on 07/09/2015 7:08:55 PM PDT by Lopeover (My vote is valuable, you must earn it.)
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To: Rome2000
A Cruz/Trump third party ticket can win

Do you see anything, ANYTHING, about Donald that says Second Place?

64 posted on 07/09/2015 7:09:21 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Any Senator who votes for TPA is disqualified to be President - Donald Trump)
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To: tennmountainman; All

Trump is on with Hannity now.


65 posted on 07/09/2015 7:11:56 PM PDT by Din Maker (GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico for VP)
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To: nascarnation
"But do you really want to see 8 years of Hillary and Huma on tv every day?"

Not sure if that would be any more nauseating than 8 years of the Kennebunkport Bush family.

66 posted on 07/09/2015 7:14:20 PM PDT by Godebert
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To: Din Maker

He dropped the hammer on Bush and Perry.


67 posted on 07/09/2015 7:16:04 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: Din Maker

Yeb Bush comes in third in a three way race and the GOP ceases to exist


68 posted on 07/09/2015 7:18:13 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Red Steel

Yes and he was great.

Sean likes him and I hope that entire interview gets posted here.


69 posted on 07/09/2015 7:19:07 PM PDT by onyx
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To: tennmountainman

LOL. He sure did.

IIRC, Perry attacked him first with regard to his announcement statement.


70 posted on 07/09/2015 7:21:01 PM PDT by onyx
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To: RKBA Democrat

“Oh but he’ll split the vote! OMG!”


My question is why would the nose-holders continue to hold their noses for Yeb Bush who is promising to give away their country?


71 posted on 07/09/2015 7:21:09 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Snickering Hound

He is turning into crispy cream jr.


72 posted on 07/09/2015 7:24:45 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: tennmountainman

Greta gave him a couple of dirty looks asking why he was going to spend his entire time trashing Trump. What a jerk.

He realizes if Trump gets the nomination he will not be buying his ads from Rove.

Pray America is waking


73 posted on 07/09/2015 7:26:58 PM PDT by bray (Cruz to the WH)
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To: tennmountainman; All

When asked by Hannity, a few minutes ago, if he did not win the GOP nomination, would he run as an Independent. Trump answered: “It depends on who wins. I’m not a politician and I won’t make a phony promise. The best chance we have for us to win is for me to be the nominee. I will beat Hillary Clinton and I will get the Latino vote.”


74 posted on 07/09/2015 7:27:21 PM PDT by Din Maker (GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico for VP)
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To: Balding_Eagle
Do you see anything, ANYTHING, about Donald that says Second Place?

Actually a good point, a billionaire takes second to a freshman Senator who hasn't even passed a bill, unfortunately, I know, that's the way it goes.

Or would Trump pick Oprah or someone very unexpected but if it goes 3rd party, you are right, Trump won't be 2nd fiddle.

75 posted on 07/09/2015 7:27:44 PM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: Paladin2

That’s messed up.


76 posted on 07/09/2015 7:28:24 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The Donald is naming names! He just named Perry having done terrible job on the border, and Jeb Bush is a very weak person (no back bone). On Hannity a few minutes ago.


77 posted on 07/09/2015 7:28:59 PM PDT by entropy12 (I always see glass half full. I see something good in all people, even the crappy RINO's!)
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To: erod

Yes correct. Its just more bullshit reporting pushing the rinos.


78 posted on 07/09/2015 7:29:38 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: erod

Yes correct. Its just more bullshit reporting pushing the rinos.


79 posted on 07/09/2015 7:29:44 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: Din Maker

I saw that interview as well. Some people are petty.


80 posted on 07/09/2015 7:31:09 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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