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To: 9YearLurker
Which presumably would have been within the margin of error anyway.

Eight points is HUGE. Most polls are around 2-3 percent margin of error. Their polls were showing triple that, and calling for the wrong party to win, in a not-terribly-close election (11 million to 9 million). That's far from "within the margin of error".

18 posted on 05/08/2015 4:49:29 AM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: Teacher317

No, look, that 3% is in either direction for each number. (Actually very few polls are down to 2%, more likely up to 4-5%.)

So the Labour result was very likely within the MOE, but the Conservative result would depend on the size of the poll.


22 posted on 05/08/2015 5:09:28 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Teacher317

Look at this tracker of poll averages—they were really dead even at the end:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11374181/latest-poll-tracker.html


23 posted on 05/08/2015 5:11:01 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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