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Premium Increases for “Young Invincibles” Under the ACA and the Impending Premium Spiral
http://americanactionforum.org ^ | October 2, 2013 | By Sam Cappellanti

Posted on 10/09/2013 5:54:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm

Crucial to the success of the Affordable Care Act's (ACA) health insurance exchanges is the participation of 2.7 million uninsured 18-35 year olds, sometimes referred to as the “young invincibles.” With lower than average incomes and generally good health, “young invincibles” are more likely to forego health coverage than others, or be attracted to plans offering basic coverage at minimal prices. Due to the ACA’s sweeping market reforms, rates for low-premium plans have increased exponentially between 2013 and 2014. In fact, on average, a healthy 30 year old male nonsmoker will see his lowest cost insurance option increase 260 percent.

18-35 year olds typically utilize fewer health care services then other populations, and as such, their premiums are needed to subsidize the costs of caring for more expensive enrollees. The administration admits that without these “young invincibles” the exchanges may well fail. However, unreasonable premium increases and an ineffectual subsidy-penalty system appear likely to discourage young people from signing up, threatening the stability of the insurance market.

As can be seen in the following map, premiums for a healthy 30 year old will increase in all fifty states and the District of Columbia – from a low of 9 percent in Massachusetts to a high of 600 percent in Vermont.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanactionforum.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: healthcare; obama; obamacare; shutdown
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This is a good analysis of the cost to young people who can expect at worse to see an increase in premiums of 600%.
1 posted on 10/09/2013 5:54:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm
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To: Maelstorm

Young invincibles get reality slap and sticker shock, don’t enroll, pay penelty, and whole Obamacare business model collapses.

(I use term “business model” VERY loosly).


2 posted on 10/09/2013 5:57:10 PM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: Maelstorm
Of the 51 states studied, all experienced health insurance rate increases, with 44 of those states experiencing triple digit percentage increases in premiums for the lowest-priced coverage. (my bolding)
3 posted on 10/09/2013 5:59:50 PM PDT by nascarnation (Frequently wrong but rarely in doubt....)
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To: Maelstorm

Now they really have a good reason to Hope for Change


4 posted on 10/09/2013 6:00:39 PM PDT by eyeamok
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To: nascarnation

“Of the 51 states studied, all experienced health insurance rate increases, with 44 of those states experiencing triple digit percentage increases in premiums for the lowest-priced coverage. (my bolding)

I believe that should be 57 states. It is after all OBAMACARE.


5 posted on 10/09/2013 6:05:28 PM PDT by RouxStir (No peein' allowed in the gene pool.)
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To: RouxStir

On Facebook, I got a Suggested page in my inbox, Hispanics Sign Up for ACA - something to that effect. I visit Hispanic sites so they targeted me with info on govt subsidies and 50 percent of Hispanics excited about this opportunity.


6 posted on 10/09/2013 6:15:49 PM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: Col Frank Slade

And Dems should feel repercussions from youngsters: “OK, I can’t afford this!, so they penalize me? Who’s idea was this? !”


7 posted on 10/09/2013 6:29:53 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: All armed conservatives.)
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To: Maelstorm

My biggest complaint is that the first year penalty is so low. Let’s move them right to a 2.5% income penalty, then watch heads explode!

Maybe Boehner should offer that as a compromise: we agree to fund Obamacare for 1 year, BUT you must move to the largest penalties RIGHT AWAY so people really understand what they are getting into.

The repeal movement would pick up steam and Dems would take a beating in elections. Of course the press would claim the penalty increase was solely the fault of the Republicans...


8 posted on 10/09/2013 6:40:51 PM PDT by bolobaby
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To: bolobaby

Even a low penalty for “invincibles” won’t go down well. Look for Obie and dems to lose huge in 2014


9 posted on 10/09/2013 6:49:33 PM PDT by chiller (NBCNews et al is in the tank and should be embarrassed)
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To: Maelstorm
“young invincibles” are more likely to forego health coverage than others, or be attracted to plans offering basic coverage at minimal prices.

Hence the reason the Dems were so demanding that people sign up or pay a penalty (tax). One way or another, the Dems were going to get the money to spend, spend, spend somehow.

10 posted on 10/09/2013 6:51:27 PM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: tumblindice

Just like Reagan pulled a whole generation to the GOP, Obama care is shoving one. Now all that is needed is a strong tea party wing with leaders like Cruz and Palin to give them something to fight for.


11 posted on 10/09/2013 6:53:00 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: Maelstorm

Not only CAN this premium spiral happen-but it WILL happen!

The authors also forget that the young tend to be either fall into 3 categories:

1) Libertarian/Conservative (these people will say F-U big government telling them what to do. I DO fall into this crowd).

2) Liberal/Left wing (die hard brainwashed idiots that will believe whatever the MSM, their liberal professors, and Holly-wood/Music Industry tell them).

3) Low information that don’t pay attention to politics and don’t care (or have priorities that do not include worrying about government/the news). They aren’t going to comply because they aren’t proactive enough to even care.


12 posted on 10/09/2013 7:30:39 PM PDT by JSDude1 (Is John Boehner the Neville Chamberlain of American Politics?)
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To: Maelstorm

May I add that even some (or maybe a good portion) of the left wing/liberal population may not sign up because of “sticker shock”..!


13 posted on 10/09/2013 7:31:46 PM PDT by JSDude1 (Is John Boehner the Neville Chamberlain of American Politics?)
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To: JSDude1

Its ok if they get screwed by Obama they voted the guy in and they got a life time to get over it.


14 posted on 10/09/2013 7:58:09 PM PDT by ully2
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To: Maelstorm

When you vote for Hopey-Changey that’s what you get.


15 posted on 10/09/2013 8:22:01 PM PDT by Iron Munro (When a killer screams 'Allahu Akbar' you don't need to be mystified about a motive.)
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To: ully2

No it’s NOT because I HAVE to live under his crap!

Schedenfreud is a nice thing (not really since Christ tells us..), but until you have to live under this crap.

Please just help me defeat him and his leftist allies ;).


16 posted on 10/09/2013 9:22:19 PM PDT by JSDude1 (Is John Boehner the Neville Chamberlain of American Politics?)
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To: Maelstorm

The public sector fiscal model is grounded on massive sucking up of the productive output of the young. Who are going to be left will massive bills for a party they weren’t even invited to.

Anyone who thinks they are going to just sit back and take it is dreaming.


17 posted on 10/09/2013 9:27:26 PM PDT by Flash Bazbeaux
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

Its a vicious cycle. It reinforces the idea of hopelessness in the youth which fuels dependency and bitterness and the result is that many youth will simply drop out and refuse to be productive so the idea that they will fit the bill is not taking into account natural human response. People don’t work well when there is no reasonably immediate reward for them and with the young it is even more the case.


18 posted on 10/10/2013 5:55:41 AM PDT by Maelstorm (The political class love diversity and choice only when the its choices they approve of.)
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To: Maelstorm
people don't work well when there is no reasonably immediate reward...

Another opinion I've heard expressed is that most people NEVER become stable workers if they haven't had to by a certain age. That's significant, because this generation growing up over the past decade or so has significant numbers who haven't had stable work and haven't had to figure out how to survive on their own.

Keeping them on their parents health insurance and in schools beyond anything that makes sense is just making it worse. There are exceptions, of course, but they could easily become "the useless generation" or "the dependent generation"

19 posted on 10/10/2013 6:05:14 AM PDT by grania
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To: grania

You make a good point. I actually witnessed an example of this. I recently gained custody of my 17 year old niece. Just last night she found out that her some what worthless birth mother had lost her job again because she called off 3 times and she hadn’t been there even 90 days. My niece has been working part time at local restaurant and she initially wanted to just call off because she was having a bad day etc. My wife and I explained to her that never looks good and that even if an employer seems to have a liberal leave policy that taking advantage of it heavily will give them the impression you don’t want to work and they will cut your hours or let you go. My niece has taking it to heart. Thankfully she is a good girl and in our new can do will do environment she is thriving.


20 posted on 10/10/2013 6:31:48 AM PDT by Maelstorm (The political class love diversity and choice only when the its choices they approve of.)
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