This documents what is happening in Texas:
That’s interesting, but I think it leaves out some key information.
Unless I missed it, I don’t recall seeing in there where it actually talks about Hispanic voting results. Those results, again, are Hispanics consistently voting for Democrats by large margins in pretty much every important statewide race.
It also has a very misleading statement when it says that the more Latino Texas becomes the more Republican it is trending. The statement is technically true, but it suggests that the reason the GOP has come to dominate Texas is because of the growing Hispanic population, and that simply isn’t true. Again, the GOP loses the Hispanic vote in Texas, so that population is on net a benefit to the Democrats. The GOP has dominated Texas because it has routinely won over 70% of the white vote. Period.
That alone won’t keep Texas red, but it should keep it from falling into hopelessly blue status like California. I don’t deny the importance of outreach to keep Texas red in the future, but the question is what will it take to win over enough non-white voters in 10 or 20 years from now?
I don’t buy that some conservatism won’t have to be jettisoned to do this. This article says that the state GOP has already pretty much abandoned efforts to enact strict immigration policies like other states have. Maybe allowing illegal aliens in-state tuition is a small price to pay to not ‘alienate’ Hispanics. But the problem is that the Democrats will do their best to make sure any conservative policies ‘alienate’ Latinos. So if the state GOP is surrendering on in-state tuition and sanctuary cities now, then what will they surrender on tomorrow, all in the name of outreach? Obviously there are a lot of Hispanics who are natural conservatives and will eagerly vote Republican. But I haven’t seen anything to convince me that they number more than 30-35% of the overall Hispanic population.
But again, since my preferred action of no path to citizenship for illegal aliens and a huge decrease in legal immigration is not likely to happen, then I sincerely hope your optimism proves to be well founded.