We go to the classes at Fermilab every couple of years just to stay current. With that and 3 years working at the Warning Point for 7 counties in northern Illinois we have a pretty good feeling for when things area going to break bad locally.
I used to be the guy reading those NWS warnings. They said I have a face made for radio work. LOL.
The night that Grandbury got hit, the neighbors knew to take it serious when I put my beer and the fridge and put on long pants and boots and pulled my go-bag into the office near me.
It takes years to get a feel for how things are going to go, and even then, the accuracy isn't that great.
/johnny