Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

If you click on the first link, there's no abstract. If you then click on "PDF," you get a four paragraph article plus references.
1 posted on 05/19/2013 3:24:36 PM PDT by neverdem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: neverdem

I think “muzzi” virus would have been a better name.


2 posted on 05/19/2013 3:27:59 PM PDT by toast
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: Mother Abigail; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; Global2010; Battle Axe; null and void; grey_whiskers; ...
FLU VACCINE MAY HIT FAST TRACK

FReepmail me if you want on or off my combined microbiology/immunology ping list.

3 posted on 05/19/2013 3:31:22 PM PDT by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem
It's alive!


4 posted on 05/19/2013 4:04:37 PM PDT by moovova
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem

“Worldwide, there have been 40 confirmed cases, WHO says, including 20 deaths.”

50 percent mortality rate ain’t good.


5 posted on 05/19/2013 4:07:05 PM PDT by moovova
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; Global2010; ...
Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

7 posted on 05/19/2013 4:26:36 PM PDT by null and void (Republicans create the tools of opression, and the democrats gleefully use them!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem
In related news...SARS reported in NYC
10 posted on 05/19/2013 7:31:58 PM PDT by Myrddin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem
Here's a PDF from a meeting on San Diego that references 102 cases of corona virus in NYC . Note you need a PDF reader for this content.
11 posted on 05/19/2013 7:37:10 PM PDT by Myrddin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem

Sheesh, the location name is only an issue cause of jihadists.

Can’t offend the muzzies.

Get over it.


14 posted on 05/20/2013 4:03:20 AM PDT by metmom (For freedom Christ has set us free; stand firm therefore & do not submit again to a yoke of slavery)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: neverdem

I am not yet deeply concerned with this, because it is not following the explosive growth pattern of a really deadly plague. Timetable does matter, because if growth is too slow, the number of infection “dead ends” eventually extinguishes the pathogen.

Several other variables are first, that infection favors milder strains, that pulmonary spread is greatest at 40F and low humidity, that the pathogen has common insect, animal, or contamination vectors, etc.

A plague like the Spanish flu was remarkable for *not* following these typical rules. Infection favored more lethal strains; it spread easiest in warm, humid climates; and it spread easily without obvious vectors (because of its novelty, much less of the virus was needed to infect).

Plagues tend to spread both like a wildfire, unevenly, and in waves, coming on strongly in an area, only to ebb, then returning strongly, over and over again.

Thus, added all up, this Saudi sickness might create a regional problem and kill several hundred, but as of yet it is showing no signs of turning into a pandemic or even a major plague.


17 posted on 05/20/2013 6:07:06 AM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy (Best WoT news at rantburg.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson