Search has been disabled. Sorry if its a dupe.
Maybe he got it exactly right, but failed to take into account Democrat election fraud?
I cancelled my premium membership to rasmussen today.
He is personna non-grata to me
If I saw their last poll correctly, Gallup got it wrong too. That’s make their 3rd miss since FDR.
No one counted on the Free Stuff effect.
two issues:
1) conservatives should not put up with second rate products or services just because the supplier is “conservative”
2) the polls in aggregate were wrong, the final average of the real clear polls was more than 3 standard deviations from the actual result
the thing about polls is that the non-sampling error is larger than the sampling error. the big errors are from non-response bias, likely voter identification, party weighting etc. these things are guesses and this election cycle’s hero will be next cycles goat
someone like Nate Silver can come up with an overfitted model that fits the past data well. its like economic forecasting, as long as future elections are similar to the past, he will be accurate. when there is a dramatic shift (like 1980) Nate Silver will never catch it, just like all the “blue chip” forecasters don’t ever forecast things like financial crises.
“For the past year conservatives have put their trust in one pollster and one pollster alone.”
yeah we can’t do that anymore. There are no ‘wonder’ polls. Look at all the polls and not just from the guy who got it most right in the past.
Nate Silver may also be next year’s Rass if he’s all by himself. So don’t forget this.
Not if there was some major organized election stealing. Trillions of dollars are at stake, after all.
Maybe Rasmussen was dead right, but there was 2-3% cheating!
One cannot poll hacked voting machines in blue districts. This will likely be the untold story of the election.
Ras just on foxnews talking how amazed he was that Obama’s team knew precisely how the white vote would go. Of course they would know, they hacked the machines.
I guess it’s possible that the Polls which showed a huge Dem turnout was just a cover for the massive fraud which was planned.