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Take last week's CBS/New York Times Florida survey, which had Mr. Obama leading Mr. Romney by nine points. The poll sampled more Democrats than Republicans—nine percentage points more. Yet the Democratic advantage in the 2008 presidential exit polls was three percentage points. Does it seem probable that Florida Democrats will turn out in higher numbers in 2012, especially when their registration edge over Republicans dropped by 22% in the past four years?

On Aug. 2, radio talk-show host Hugh Hewitt asked Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University polling organization—which runs the CBS/NYT battleground state polls, including last week's Florida poll—if he expected a Democratic advantage in the Sunshine State three times what it was last time. Mr. Brown responded that "I think it is probably unlikely," but defended his polling organization's record.

1 posted on 10/04/2012 9:21:51 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Senator Goldwater

It’s over. The only remaining question is, How much?

It’s going to be a landslide of biblical proportions.

Imagine how dispirited the kool-aid drinkers are. They’re going to stay home.


2 posted on 10/04/2012 9:29:34 PM PDT by St_Thomas_Aquinas (Viva Christo Rey!)
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll ping. Some folks are waking up.


3 posted on 10/04/2012 9:31:06 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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