Posted on 10/17/2011 9:11:56 AM PDT by Mustang Driver
It’s Herman Cain 43%, Barack Obama 41% in the latest Rasmussen Poll. This is the first national poll to show Cain ahead of the president. While this is within the margin of error, it is further evidence of what a great month Herman Cain has had since the second debate in September. The wind is at his back as he heads into tomorrow night’s debate. A quick scan inside the numbers:
Men like Cain, 48%-42%.
Among the ladies, Cain is down, 37%-41%.
Among those 65 and older, Cain is 50%-34%.
Among those under 30, Cain is down 35%-50%.
Cain gets only 4% of the black vote, but leads among whites by 15 points.
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Interesting news.
I think ultimately, in the end, a Candidate Cain could get more than 4% of the black vote, (probably not a third as he claims, but ~15%) and do a bit better among youth and women than this poll suggests.
I would like to see what his name recognition is right now.
- Men like Cain, 48%-42%.
- Among the ladies, Cain is down, 37%-41%.
- Among those 65 and older, Cain is 50%-34%.
- Among those under 30, Cain is down 35%-50%.
- Cain gets only 4% of the black vote, but leads among whites by 15 points.
So what we glean here is that:
- Cain isn’t Black enough
- Women still want the government to be their husbands
- The older are wiser
- The yutes want everthing handed to them
- Men are more inclind towards self-sufficiency
I am not convinced that Cain will attract a significantly larger perportion of the Black vote.
His major gains will be in the “Guilty White” vote, which he will completely neutralize.
Cain still needs to turn support into money
until he sees a surge in people putting money where their mouth is, it is still an anomaly
but sure is getting interesting
Neutralizing the guilty white vote would be enough to win against 0bama.
You can bet that whoever it is that ends up running against Obama in this state will win it BIG. Obama's effort to bankrupt the coal industry...and therefore the state has not gone unnoticed here.
I think your estimate is a bit pessimistic, but pessimism is wisdom for those who want to win.
I'm beginning to think that -- if he doesn't take himself out -- it's going to be Cain vs. Obama.
Suits me fine, btw.
Rasmussen - Cain beats the Marxist....LOL.
I worry about fundraising, but, methinks if he wins Iowa, then all bets are off and the money will start rolling in. He has enough of his own funds to keep rolling until then, but not much longer without jeopardizing his own retirement...
Anomaly you say and I say it’s AMERICAN!
Herman Cain who truly was until recently a virtual unknown had faith enough in himself to decide to run for President of the United States on his own. There was no Media hype/pressure/build-up about a possible run, there was no urging by members of the Party, no words spoken into his ear by party players, elites, beltway boys or pundits, not even a word of encouragement from the Republican Party of his home state only faith in himself. Now after months of being treated as being a inconsequential candidate the curious sideshow of a conservative black Republican, he is now in the top tier along with people of great party pull, of men with experienced political machines and the dollars to power them. He did that on his own with no help from anyone except by his own. Now think what a man with faith in himself like that could accomplish if given the chance.
Now many are saying Cain hasn’t a chance with his little formal organization and even less money.
Well let me remind all of you of what a recent movement did with no formal organization and even less money, The Tea Party.
The Tea Party manage with both those weakness to go on and seriously change the political landscape and in doing so caused the Leftist members of government, elitist of both political parties and media types to quake in fear of them and their wrath and all done with only a minimum of formal organization and on a ‘shoe string’ budget.
That’s what successful AMERICANS do, what they have always done! It’s what makes us WINNERS! They start out with what they have and they MAKE IT WORK! They make it work because what they don’t have in manpower or money they make-up with brains, sweat, blood and last but most important faith.
Nice post!
And, the lamestream media thinks mainstream America isn’t paying attention to what’s going on with the Occupy Whatever bunch?
We’re paying attention alright. Just keep watching those poll numbers, folks.
We’re gonna clean house, and we’re starting at the top!
Polls that are 13 months ahead of an election are not relevant toward the out come of the general election, but they are good indicators about the primary.
One reason these numbers are very good is that they piss off the left and the pubbie elite.
The only way Obama can steal re-election is through fraud and violence. We are about to see the most violent and putrid Dem campaign in U.S. history, with the Rancid Media holding Obama’s skirts.
The Dems have purposefully destroyed traditional American black society. In the past 50 years, Dem policies have resulted in the percentage of black families headed by a man and wife dropping from 70% to 30%. Stalin couldn’t have done better.
Excellent analysis.
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