With all due respect, and acknowledging your accurate observations about Angle and O'Donnell, Sarah Palin is in a completely different league than those two candidates. The playing fields of their respective battles are quite different, as well.
In a nutshell, Palin has a quality of character, and a track record of accomplishment that set her apart from the pack. She has a latent level of support among the public that is gargantuan, but remains untapped and unmeasured, only due to the fact that she hasn't officially declared her run for office. She is also feared by the opposition to a degree little seen in our lifetimes.
In short, she is without question, the most formidable Republican challenger that most of us have seen in decades. She will win the nomination, if she runs, and I believe that she will squash Obama like a bug in the general election.
It would take me far too long to lay out the many, many observations that have led me to this conclusion, so suffice it to say that I've seen an overwhelming amount of evidence that indicates this outcome to me.
I don't know what data you're using to support your conclusion, but I can almost bet that you've failed to factor in all of the available evidence.
I think you're going to lose money on your bet this time, Fred. It'll be some of the best money you ever spent :-)
I hope you are right Windflier, but I think a lot of people in this country don’t like quitters and she’s never really had to address the fact she quit on Alaska. If she runs, she will have to seriously explain to the people in this country why she quit and why people in the USA should trust her not to do it again. If she thought being Governor of Alaska was bad with the scrutiny, what does she think the POTUS brings?
I’d prefer her on the sidelines and doing great work there, exposing liberals, etc, etc