There is a small number of states that are critical to Obama reaching 270 electoral votes. If a similar bill passes in just one of them then he will not run in 2012.
Exactly correct. He won’t run because he can’t produce the documents. He won’t want to be embarassed so he’ll run for the hills. The interesting part will be the excuse he uses.
“There is a small number of states that are critical to Obama reaching 270 electoral votes. If a similar bill passes in just one of them then he will not run in 2012.”
The likelihood of such bills passing in those (blue or blu-ish) states is less than zero.
Fearless prediction:
If the “birth certificate law” DOES get passed in Texas, and if Obama decides to run again in 2012, he will not establish ANY “campaign presence” in Texas, or in any of the other states that pass similar laws.
By “campaign presence” I mean any activity (beyond having his name placed on the ballot) that would legally establish his candidacy in the state of Texas.
If he does not exist as “a candidate” in Texas, then the law will have no effect upon him, because it applies ONLY to those seeking to appear on the Texas ballot.
It will be the same in any other “birth certificate states”. In those states, there will be no evidence that Obama is even running again.
The fact is, Obama won without those states to begin with. Why would he need them the second time around?
Old saying about the lottery: “You can’t win if you don’t play”.
This time around, it will be “You can’t touch me if I don’t play”.