Yet if the drivebys like the New York Times were to be believed from their pre-election ‘reporting’, the Republicans just won 100 seats in the House.
I find it absolutely stunning that this article implies a Republican bias in polling.
How do you accurately poll vote fraud?
Nothing more than a hit piece of Rasmussen and Fox News. Nothing to see here. Move along.
One cannot factor fraud!!
Yeah, they had such a good rep too.
And the Gallup enthusiasm gap was way, way off.
This is just more reinforcement of the old saying that “figures don’t lie but liars sure can figure”!
Would also be interesting to see how accurate the polls taken across the course of the campaign season proved to be. Sometimes pollsters know they are oversampling one party or the other, but correct it at the last minute so that studies like this one don’t expose them.
lol....a rat wing hit piece on Rasmussen by the NYSlimes...
nowhere in the article or their calculations does it seem they take into account if the pollster correctly called the winner of the election- just the moe...
if PPP called the ohio govenor race for Strickland by +2 they come away with a score for this table of -4...
if Rassmussen called the race for Kasich by +7 he comes away from with a score of -5....
Kasich won by +2
I don’t think people in glass houses should be throwing stones, as Nate Silver is here. His predictions were pretty off. He had a 2.9% bias in favor of House Democrats in his predictions.
The Times is always biased and inaccurate, what of it?
Union/urban voter fraud/intimidation of 3-4% for dems should be factored into any polling data to obtain any amount of accuracy.
Um, I don’t think this shows a bias in polling. I really don’t.
I think it shows the measure of voting fraud perpetrated by the Dems. No joke...
I took a look at Rasmussen’s polls. By using 21 days, Silver got to throw in a couple of that were way off, but that Ras (and others) had fixed as election day neared.
Why didn’t Silver go back 4 weeks or 2 weeks. Because it would not have helped his already-made-up thesis.
This is a bogus hit piece.
My first thought when I saw the header, like so many above, was the Rasmussen probably has no fraud factor.
Yeah, that was real inaccurate polling. /s
Did they factor in the cheating? Where was dingy Harry in the polls before he started giving out free food and gift certificates? How many votes did he really have before that “unexpected” power outage.
Is there any way they can poll and factor in the Democrat fraud?
Didn’t think so.