This means : A) His would-be supporters are unenthusiastic; B) Lots of undecided voters.
Barney Frank is the most well known politician in the state of Massachusetts and has been there too long. That he's polling at just 46% is a bad sign for him.
In Morris' experience, the undecideds move AGAINST the well known incumbent and FOR the challenger by an 80% margin most often.
IOW, Bawney has a lot to worry about.
ETA, this is an awfully small poll — Just 400 people as opposed to the sample Rasmussen takes ( more than double this ).
Frank is under 50%
“Why Barney Frank is in Danger of Losing”
When was this poll conducted?
Two weeks ago Howie Carr mentioned that the Globe & UNH were sitting on a poll about this race - so this might be the one he was talking about or did they conduct a 2nd poll with tweaked questions?
Well, Barney, then you have no worries.
Don't sweat the 2nd, dude, stay home!
You can trust the Globe...they nailed that Brown/Croakley race...
"He's dug in like an Alabama tick."
Bawney has himself an almost perfect little niche. He is a Liberal Dem in Newton, MA...a very small district which has been a 80% Liberal Dem constituency over the years.
He got himself on some very powerful committees and worked the system perfectly to line his pockets with plenty of cash to keep getting re-elected.
I would love nothing more than to see him sent packing but I don't believe it will happen in my lifetime.
Poll end date: January 13, 2010,
Poll result: Coakley(49) ahead of Brown(41) by 8.
Election date: January 19, 2010 (just 6 days later)
Election result: Coakley (47) lost to Brown(52) by 5 (the poll had Brown under-polled by 11, and Coakley over-polled by 2).
Poll end date: October 22, 2010,
Poll result: Frank(46) ahead of Bielat(33) by 13.
Election date: November 2, 2010 (11 days after the poll)
Possible Election result: Frank(44) tied with Bielat(44) (if this poll also has Bielat under-polled by 11, and Frank over-polled by 2).