Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Dick Morris, a long time election observer and pollster himself,made an observation -- IT IS A BAD SIGN WHEN SOMEONE WITH HUGE NAME RECOGNITION LIKE FRANK CANNOT POLL AT OR ABOVE 50% THIS CLOSE TO ELECTION DAY.

This means : A) His would-be supporters are unenthusiastic; B) Lots of undecided voters.

Barney Frank is the most well known politician in the state of Massachusetts and has been there too long. That he's polling at just 46% is a bad sign for him.

In Morris' experience, the undecideds move AGAINST the well known incumbent and FOR the challenger by an 80% margin most often.

IOW, Bawney has a lot to worry about.

1 posted on 10/25/2010 12:29:22 PM PDT by WebFocus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: WebFocus

ETA, this is an awfully small poll — Just 400 people as opposed to the sample Rasmussen takes ( more than double this ).


2 posted on 10/25/2010 12:30:48 PM PDT by WebFocus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus
OK so there are 20% undecided. They break 80/20 for the challenger. That give Bielat 33+16 = 49% and Frank 46+4 = 50%. So it all comes down to turnout.
4 posted on 10/25/2010 12:37:12 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus

Frank is under 50%
“Why Barney Frank is in Danger of Losing”
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2614231/posts


5 posted on 10/25/2010 12:37:23 PM PDT by Fred (Suspend All Immigration Until Unemployment is Reduced to 5%)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus

When was this poll conducted?

Two weeks ago Howie Carr mentioned that the Globe & UNH were sitting on a poll about this race - so this might be the one he was talking about or did they conduct a 2nd poll with tweaked questions?


6 posted on 10/25/2010 1:04:17 PM PDT by Sparky1776
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus
Boston Globe poll shows Frank up 13 over Bielat, but enthusiasm breaking for GOP (Bawney at 46%)

Well, Barney, then you have no worries.

Don't sweat the 2nd, dude, stay home!

8 posted on 10/25/2010 1:16:02 PM PDT by Lazamataz
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus

You can trust the Globe...they nailed that Brown/Croakley race...


9 posted on 10/25/2010 1:18:55 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus
To quote on of my favorite movie lines...

"He's dug in like an Alabama tick."

Bawney has himself an almost perfect little niche. He is a Liberal Dem in Newton, MA...a very small district which has been a 80% Liberal Dem constituency over the years.
He got himself on some very powerful committees and worked the system perfectly to line his pockets with plenty of cash to keep getting re-elected.

I would love nothing more than to see him sent packing but I don't believe it will happen in my lifetime.

12 posted on 10/25/2010 1:48:49 PM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts ("Give me your secrets, Bring me a sign, Give me a reason to walk the fire.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: WebFocus

Poll end date: January 13, 2010,
Poll result: Coakley(49) ahead of Brown(41) by 8.
Election date: January 19, 2010 (just 6 days later)
Election result: Coakley (47) lost to Brown(52) by 5 (the poll had Brown under-polled by 11, and Coakley over-polled by 2).

Poll end date: October 22, 2010,
Poll result: Frank(46) ahead of Bielat(33) by 13.
Election date: November 2, 2010 (11 days after the poll)
Possible Election result: Frank(44) tied with Bielat(44) (if this poll also has Bielat under-polled by 11, and Frank over-polled by 2).


13 posted on 10/26/2010 8:52:25 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson