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In Nevada, where Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) is fighting hard against Republican Sharron Angle, Republicans have 42.5% of the early votes to 42.4% for Democrats, with Independents at 15%.

Good night, Harry.

1 posted on 10/24/2010 11:32:50 PM PDT by freespirited
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To: freespirited
More numbers:

=======================


2 posted on 10/24/2010 11:34:42 PM PDT by freespirited (This tagline dedicated to the memory of John Armor, a/k/a Congressman Billybob.)
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To: freespirited

Are you kidding? That’s not nearly enough to clear the 5% democrat voter fraud gap.


3 posted on 10/24/2010 11:36:32 PM PDT by douginthearmy
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To: freespirited

Good Post.

Thanks.


5 posted on 10/24/2010 11:57:00 PM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: freespirited

Trying to make sense of the numbers is like navigating in the fog without a compass. We have no idea how many democrats are voting Republican or what the independents are doing. We also don’t know that the early turnout won’t be offset by lower numbers on election day.

More and more districts are in play every day and that tells me the wave is building. Don’t let anyone be fooled by phony polling in the last week. If voters use the healthcare plan and the stimulus votes to determine who they are voting for, all predictions and bets are off and some previously unpolled and “safe” democrats will be looking for jobs.


8 posted on 10/25/2010 12:08:14 AM PDT by excopconservative
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To: freespirited

i’m not as optimistic. We need to add a few percentage points to the democrat side for fraud


9 posted on 10/25/2010 12:17:26 AM PDT by 4rcane
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To: freespirited

I was looking at North Carolina. On the stats for the 2008 early voting, there’s stats about early voting 2004 North Carolina.

This year the Republicans in North Carolina are doing 5 points better than in 2004. George Bush in 2004 was the best Republican performance Presidential since Reagan in 1984.

There was a very tight linkage between party turnout and presidential performance 2004 and 2008.

Obama outperformed Kerry net 12.5 points.
Early voting Dems were up 2.8 Republicans were down 7.2 Indys up 4.4.

If there was a presidential race this year - Republican 59% - Democrat 41%.

North Carolina
56 - 43.6 bush kerry - 12.4 (5.1) = 17.5
49.7-49.38 obama mccain -
2008 2004 2010
Dem 51.4% 48.6% 44.3%
Rep 30.2% 37.4% 38.2%
None 18.5% 14.1% 17.4%
Best Results in North Carolina since 1984 Reagan Landslide.


10 posted on 10/25/2010 12:55:04 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: freespirited

Iowa will be IOUA if they lose the freebie farm welfare and actually have to grow crops.


13 posted on 10/25/2010 1:34:36 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (the way to win this game is not to play)
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To: freespirited

“So if the current numbers hold on, then the GOP would have a 27-point swing in their favor in early voting numbers.”

That is assuming that the electronic voting machine process is not rigged. It would be nice to see the actual vote totals. I bet we never will see them in stand alone form.


15 posted on 10/25/2010 1:53:18 AM PDT by Revel
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To: freespirited
As for bright spots for Democrats, in Iowa they have a 45.9-38.1% edge in early votes.

IOWA? Would someone please explain what is going on in this prairie state!

18 posted on 10/25/2010 2:24:51 AM PDT by REPANDPROUDOFIT (General, sir, it's ok to call me "ma'am"!)
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To: freespirited

Sorry I am a Registered Democrat and I have Not Voted that way for 30 years


25 posted on 10/25/2010 3:51:22 AM PDT by ballplayer
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To: freespirited; devolve; PhilDragoo

**Good night, Harry.**

Man, I HOPE that is right!

I would love to be rid of Whorehouse Harry once and for all!


30 posted on 10/25/2010 5:47:17 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP (2008: The year the Media died. --Sean Hannity, regarding Barack HUSSEIN ObaMao's treatment ...)
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To: freespirited
For example in Florida, almost 800,000 votes are already in, and when you look at the party breakdown, you see that 52.8% of the ballots are in from Republicans to 33.7% for Democrats.

I don't have to be a rocket scientist to realize that GOP votes are coming in at a 19% higher clip than the Democrats in Florida.

No rocket scientists required, but a basic knowledge of math and ratios is required to realize that 52.8% vs 33.7% is a 56.7% HIGHER CLIP NOT 19% WHICH IS JUST THE NUMERICAL DIFFERENCE.

Man, I hate it when rocket scientists pose as mathematicians.

33 posted on 10/25/2010 6:32:58 AM PDT by USS Alaska
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