Posted on 07/09/2010 2:13:24 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
WASHINGTON – The climate phenomenon known as La Nina appears to be developing, threatening more bad news in the efforts to clean up the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.
When a La Nina occurs there tend to be more hurricanes than normal in the Atlantic and Caribbean regions, which include the Gulf of Mexico.
The federal Climate Prediction Center said Thursday that La Nina conditions are likely to develop in July and August.
La Nina is marked by an unusual cooling of the sea surface in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Water temperatures in that area can affect air pressure and winds, resulting in changes in the weather in many parts of the world.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Donate to FR and get up to the minute info as these things blow thru the next few months.
How many will there be? Who knows? ;-)
Doubt it. Besides, well, we all already know the facts.
Climate Prediction Center
more like
Disaster Prediction Center
NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Climate Prediction Center
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
“Experts” say that this will be an exceptionally active year...
(but then they say that every, every, every year, and it very seldom is)
This “News” story is especially funny to people in Florida because they literally say this EVERY year, for as long as I can remember.
El Nino, La Nina, it’s always the same. More hurricanes, global warming.
Well the El Nino and La Nina stuff is the real deal. It has been happening for hundreds of years.
The better predictor for Florida, I think, is if there has been a wet May with lots of rain. A wet spring and early summer keeps the hurricanes away. I am not sure why - maybe the jetstream is setup up so rainy fronts block hurricanes. ???
I hope it puts a stop to the almost-daily icy cold north winds we’ve had for nearly a year now.
What the patterns do, depending on which one, is to lop the tops off the incoming storms when they approach the Gulf, and East coast and try to run up the slot or across Florida. It won't stop them from slamming into Central Mexico and it does not always work. Has more to do with low pressure areas replacing the usual high, or the other way around.
It's obvious that the idea that they can predict named storms, much less predict how many will hit the US is a farce.
Darn marine layers...
The fog burned off early today.. We’re sitting at about 80 now..
This weekend should be nice , maybe a little warmer..
we’re gonna do the alameda county fair saturday, probably 90 or so
What is incredible is if a big hurricane comes up against a big front from the western US - there is no competition. The huge fronts over the great plains are giants.
Oh no....Not hurricanes during hurricane seasons.
Joe Bastardi of Accuweather has said this will be a very active hurricane season. He studies patterns and says this year is likely to be similar to 2005(I think this is the year he talked about). Anyway, He also says it has nothing to do with glabal warming.
He correctly predicted the snowy midatlantic last July for this past winter and he was dead on.
I believe him.
Those of us in the Pacific North West can expect a severe winter with a developing La Nino which will produce a northly flow allowing arctic air to flow in. El Nino OTOH produces a west to east flow keeping the cold arctic air out producing a relatively “mild winter”. Solar activity is also at a very low level and noctilucent clouds have become spectactular because of very low stratospheric temperatures. Stock up on fire wood. Keep your woman handy or keep your dogs handy for 2-3 dog nights. Ha.
High and low pressure fronts steer them, and depending on location related to the hurricane, a high pressure front, no matter how weak, can affect a hurricane. A low can act as a target, with the two highs on either side, the gun barrel. A medium high can rip the top off a cat five and destroy it.
It's more than prevailing winds to consider. It's the wind at 17-25K feet that makes or breaks a hurricane season. Seasonal weather depends a lot on sun activity and cycles, and the butterfly effect can change everything on dime. The weather patterns El-N and La-N, are factors in the upper level wind shears but they depend on other factors and so on.
I'd rather predict earthquakes then Hurricanes, but I like Rush's prediction. He said anywhere between 0-25 would be created, and anywhere between 0-25 would hit the US.
Many people use an “@” for the “a”s in Joe’s name, since the name of his family is profane.
There are just too many variables, and to just say because of one pattern in this hemisphere, we will get more hurricane landfalls, is just foolish because it ignores everything else and most importantly, African weather.
I always get a laugh out of these predictions, and they are wrong more often then coin flipping. Until they have a better handle on the entire planet's weather systems, coupled with space weather for the models, they might as well keep guessing, but don't call it a official prediction or I puke.
La Nina means a cooling in the tropical pacific. The cooling is caused by global warming, thus more hurricanes.
La Nina means a cooling in the tropical pacific. The cooling is caused by global warming, thus more hurricanes.
hurricanes need heat to develop... what are they talking about?
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