Posted on 02/03/2010 8:32:29 PM PST by dangus
Will there be any Democratic governors left by 2012? 12 states will hold elections in 2012. Of the rest, all the states held by Democrats are likely to go Republican, except for some states with small populations.
New York
Lazio 45 (R), Paterson 38 (D)(i) (Rasmussen 1-18)
Lazio 46, Paterson 43 (Marist, 2-2)
Attorney General Andrew Cuomo is considering challenging Gov. Paterson in a primary.
Ohio
Kasich (R) 47, Strickland (D)(i) 40 (Ras., 1-12)
Pennsylvania
Corbett (R) 44, Oranato (D) 28 (Ras., 12-10)
Corbett 43, Wagner (D) 30
Corbett 48, Hoeffel (D) 26
Corbett 46, Doherty (D) 23
Michigan(open)
Bouchard (R) 42, Cherry (D) 32 (Ras., 12-26)
Hoekstra (R) 46, Cherry 32
Cox (R) 39, Cherry 34
Cherry has withdrawn, possibly due to his poor poll numbers. He was considered the strongest Democrat candidate.
New Jersey
Chris Christie (R) has already defeated John Corzine (D)(i), 49-45, as of 11-3.
Virginia
Bob McDonnell (R) has already defeated Creigh Deeds (D), 59-31, as of 11-3
Massachusetts
Baker (R) 27, Patrick (D)(i) 29, Cahill (I) 21 (Public Policy Polling, 1-9)
This is regarded as leaning Republican because of the likelihood that once one of the two challenging candidates, Baker and Cahill, pulls away from the other, the leader will draw massive votes from the trailing candidate.
Tennessee(open)
No polling data; Cook and CQ both rate this as leaning Republican.
Maryland
O'Malley (D)(i)49, Ehrlich (R) 38 (Gonzales, 9-17)
Wisconsin(open)
Walker (R) 48, Barrett (D) 38 (Ras., 1-26)
Neumann (R) 42, Barrett 38 (Ras.)
Colorado (open)
McInnis (R) 45, Hickenlopper 42 (Ras., 1-6)
Oklahoma(open)
Fallin (R) 51, Edmondson (D) 39 (SoonerPoll, 1-10) Fallin 52, Jari Askins (D) 36
Oregon
No major Republican candidate, yet.
Iowa
Branstad (R) 57, Culver (D)(i) 33 (Selzer & Co., 11-11) Branstad 54, Culver 34 (Ras., 9-22) Van Der Plaats (R) 45, Culver 37 (Selzer) Van Der Plaats 43, Culver 39 (Ras.)
Arkansas
No poll available. No announced Republican candidates, but the incumbent Democrat (Beebe) is considered strong.
Kansas
No poll available, but widely considered to be certainly Republican
New Mexico
No poll available, but considered one of the Democrats' best chances to keep a governorship
Maine(open)
Mills (R) 34, Mitchell (D) 31 (PPP, 10-19)
Wyoming(open?)
Freudenthal (D)(i) is believed to be still popular, but he is likely term-limited. (The constitutionality of the term limits is contested.) If he does not run, the seat is considered a likely pick-up for Republicans
Great wrap-up. Thanks for taking the time to put this together.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
There’s a more recent poll (1/2010) for MD-Gov.
O’Malley - 48
Ehrlich - 39
Undecided - 13
http://www.gonzalesresearch.com/Surveys/Maryland_Media_Poll_January_2010.htm
In NM, Pete Domenici, Jr. has entered into the Gubernatorial race (on the GOP side), which is giving expected Dem nominee Lt Gov. Diane Denish heartburn. Domenici’s father beat Denish’s father in 1972 for the Senate seat, and she doesn’t want a second-generation repeat. I think we have a very strong chance to take this open seat.
Getting Rs elected to Governorships will not only be key for day-to-day State legislating and possible US senate appointments, but also for the coming effort to get the out of control Federal gov't "back in its box" through State legislation and lawsuits. RKBA would be much safer, too.
Is Clinton’s pimp no longer running or is he term limited out?
Oh I hope so!!! Thanks for the info.
Term limits.
Thanks for the update. I think I might have seen that one, but then the numbers from the older poll looked like those numbers. Sadly, they haven’t changed much.
It's Karma, plain and simple. What these traitors to their constituents have wrought upon themselves deserves not a bit of sympathy. They bowed at the altars of Pelosi and Obama and now will have their disregard for doing what voters wanted to do assuring the end of their political careers.
Not only that, but it pretty much would hose the Demonrats’ chances to find a challenger to Palin in 2016. ;^)
The GOP also needs to make major gains at the state level so the states can pass laws that require any presidential candidate to prove their citizenship before appearing on a ballot and laws that would block any form of health insurance mandate passed by Congress.
These state laws would be permanent poison pills preventing further mischief from Washington on health care mandates and the Democrats running other possibly Constitutionally unqualified presidential candidates.
This would force Obama to face an ugly choice in 2012; reveal what’s really on his birth certificate or not run. He and his minions will of course mount massive legal challenges, which will draw a huge amount of attention and even people who don’t follow politics closely will ask “why doesn’t he just release the birth certificate?”.
Thanks! I hadn’t seen reference to him.
bttt
Good work, thanks!
Interesting... Perry might just promise to do something like that, but Obama would probably just ignore Texas. But boy, if someone in Michigan or Pennsylvania did something like that. Even Virginia. I’d better get on McDonnell’s case.
Y’all need to drop Perry out of your presidential calculations.
Andrew Cuomo will be the next governor of NY.
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