Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Rasmussen - What What Will Happen in Massachusetts on Tuesday? (Just Posted)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | January 18, 2010 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 01/18/2010 5:08:27 PM PST by Arec Barrwin

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-119 last
To: Richard Kimball

Particularly if the ratio was extreme....Let those close know but keep it close uncase it has been invalidated for some reason. Like Twenty percent lead for Brown.


101 posted on 01/18/2010 8:51:28 PM PST by hoosiermama (ONLY DEAD FISH GO WITH THE FLOW.......I am swimming with Sarahcudah! Sarah has read the tealeaves.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 98 | View Replies]

To: truth_seeker
Pollsters’ professional credibility doesn’t rest with one poll.

This ain't just any ol' poll. It's historic, and Rasmussen, being one of the major polling outfits in the nation, ought to have done one just prior to the vote. Just like every other well-respected polling firm in the country.

Don't think that only us Freepers have noticed this huge no-show on Ras' part. Savvy political watchers all over the country are probably scratching their heads and asking the same questions we are tonight.

It's just too strange for a polling company of their stature to simply not poll Massachusetts just before the election.

If I recall the conversation correctly, Zogby told Hannity that he didn't have recent polling data, either. Like Ras, he also went out on a limb to predict tomorrow's outcome based on stale data.

Too weird for coincidence.

102 posted on 01/18/2010 9:01:46 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies]

To: STARWISE

I tend to over analyze. My thoughts are going to the dark side. Pray and pray some more.


103 posted on 01/18/2010 9:09:29 PM PST by onyx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 92 | View Replies]

To: Solitar
You can’t have accurate polls when over 10% of the vote will be due to election fraud — votes by dead people who don’t answer polls.

In cases of voter fraud, it's not the polling that's inaccurate, it's the vote tallies.

If every respected polling firm does their job in an important race, and the vote totals vary significantly from the average polling results, then there is a basis for investigation for vote fraud, and eventual prosecution of the perpetrators.

Good (and widespread) polling can even discourage vote fraud. The more well-done polling that is published, the less likelihood that political operatives will take a chance on messing with the vote.

104 posted on 01/18/2010 9:10:00 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 76 | View Replies]

To: Right Wing Assault
Guy's a genius!

He may be smarter than we know, if some people's theories are correct.

105 posted on 01/18/2010 9:11:51 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

I pray you’re wrong but think you may be right.


106 posted on 01/18/2010 9:12:32 PM PST by JBGUSA (If it's us or them, I choose us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin
Where does that leave us? On Intrade, Brown begins Monday morning as the slight favorite in the race. However, nobody really knows who will win because it all comes down to turnout. Clearly, Brown has the more enthusiastic support and has run a better campaign. If turnout remains low, he is likely to win. That’s why the president went to Boston. If his appearance boosts turnout among Democrats, the Democrat will win.

Whoever wrote this article is clueless. Brown is going to win by a landslide. I live thirty miles north of Boston. I've lived here all my life and I've never seen anything, like what is going on right now. Obama's appearance will boost turnout among Democrats, but not in the way he hoped for...especially when calls her his "ally."

People are fed up, and this is going to be a spark for the rest of the country.

If I were a Liberal, I'd be very afraid right now because surely, they know what's coming.

107 posted on 01/18/2010 9:28:24 PM PST by csense
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Windflier
Why on earth would one of the most high profile, most well-respected polling companies in the nation sit out the last week of what is arguably one of the most important elections in recent US history?

As polling accuracy gets better, at some point polling reports will be equivalent to calling the election before it is over -- and that is exactly what infuriated Republicans when the networks called Florida in 2000 before Florida's western Panhandle polls closed an hour later than eastern Florida.

At some point, increased polling accuracy could predict elections before they happen. When that becomes possible, should polling companies voluntarily restrain from polling in the last few days before an election?

108 posted on 01/18/2010 9:30:25 PM PST by Solitar ("My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them." -- Barry Goldwater)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 100 | View Replies]

To: Arec Barrwin
In case anyone's interested.

On a local radio show...WEEI, I think...someone called in and used the phrase, "Browns rebellion." The host liked it...and so do I. Has a nice ring to it that seems tailored to the moment.

109 posted on 01/18/2010 9:33:54 PM PST by csense
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Solitar
At some point, increased polling accuracy could predict elections before they happen. When that becomes possible, should polling companies voluntarily restrain from polling in the last few days before an election?

Are you just throwing that question out for discussion, or are you suggesting that this is what motivated Rasmussen to forgo a last round of polling in Massachusetts?

I will submit that this isn't the reason for Rasmussen's curious withdrawal from the Massachusetts Senatorial race, just days before the vote. If it were, then the business model would be broken, and no one would be polling at this point.

What's your theory as to why Ras didn't poll just before the vote?

110 posted on 01/18/2010 9:45:02 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 108 | View Replies]

To: Windflier
What's your theory as to why Ras didn't poll just before the vote?

My theory for the present is that he is afraid that election fraud will be over 10% of the vote. The strength of the Democrat media will convince people and his customers that his polling was faulty. He does not have the strength to win against that level of power--the power that gave us 0bama and lost us Congress--the power which has successfully stolen other Congressional elections.

111 posted on 01/18/2010 10:06:51 PM PST by Solitar ("My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them." -- Barry Goldwater)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 110 | View Replies]

To: Solitar

The voting has already started and the ballot boxes are being stuffed this very moment in some backroom.


112 posted on 01/18/2010 10:24:46 PM PST by formerliberal_nowconservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 111 | View Replies]

To: Solitar
My theory for the present is that he is afraid that election fraud will be over 10% of the vote. The strength of the Democrat media will convince people and his customers that his polling was faulty.

I think that's a fairly strong theory. Makes sense, and has weight.

So, if the Democrat fraud machine is able to somehow manufacture enough votes to pull Martha over the top, how will they explain all of the other polls which showed Scott Brown with a commanding lead going into Tuesday?

And, even if they were somehow able to pull that off with the comatose Massachusetts machine, would they even try? It's not just polls that are showing a Brown win. News stories and commentary all over the country are now in solid agreement that Coakley has lost this race. And by a healthy margin.

How could the Democrats possibly explain such a miraculous turn of events? I say that they couldn't, and that they'd risk not only dozens of legal challenges, but investigations for vote fraud, and even social unrest, if they tried this.

The backlash against them stealing this election could well ignite riots and violence across the country. Personally, I don't think they're brave enough to risk their very necks for this Senate seat.

113 posted on 01/18/2010 10:38:04 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 111 | View Replies]

To: Windflier
The backlash against them stealing this election could well ignite riots and violence across the country. Personally, I don't think they're brave enough to risk their very necks for this Senate seat.

I'm also afraid that would happen if the election is stolen. I'm also afraid that the Democrats will take advantage of such a crisis by stomping hard on Tea Party movements and us bitter radical right wing extremists with guns, religion and anti-government attitudes.

114 posted on 01/18/2010 10:56:39 PM PST by Solitar ("My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them." -- Barry Goldwater)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 113 | View Replies]

To: STARWISE; onyx; hoosiermama

“Weird .. the ‘poll’ that isn’t a poll.”

Disturbing.


115 posted on 01/19/2010 1:54:06 AM PST by maggief
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 92 | View Replies]

To: Psalm 144

Thank-you God!


116 posted on 01/19/2010 7:42:30 PM PST by Rockitz (This isn't rocket science- follow the money and you'll find truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 71 | View Replies]

To: Rockitz

Thank-you God!

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Amen!


117 posted on 01/19/2010 9:14:19 PM PST by Psalm 144 (NWO + compassionate conservatives = 0)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 116 | View Replies]

To: aruanan

“I’m sure the Obama/SEIU/Acorn poll will have it 60/35 Coakley/Brown by the time this is over.”

WRONG!


118 posted on 01/22/2010 7:28:28 AM PST by SmokingJoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 62 | View Replies]

To: SmokingJoe
“I’m sure the Obama/SEIU/Acorn poll will have it 60/35 Coakley/Brown by the time this is over.”

WRONG!


The poll, not the election.
119 posted on 01/22/2010 8:23:29 AM PST by aruanan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 118 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 41-6061-8081-100101-119 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson